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icon for Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 2º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 2º Lugar

icon for Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 2º Lugar
Política·Brasil

Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 2º Lugar

Capitão Alberto Neto 56%

Eduardo Braga 19%

Xuxa do Amazonas 13%

Wilson Lima 12%

Polymarket
NOVO

Capitão Alberto Neto 56%

Eduardo Braga 19%

Xuxa do Amazonas 13%

Wilson Lima 12%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Capitão Alberto Neto

Capitão Alberto Neto

$563 Vol.

56%

icon for Eduardo Braga

Eduardo Braga

$121 Vol.

19%

icon for Xuxa do Amazonas

Xuxa do Amazonas

$80 Vol.

13%

icon for Wilson Lima

Wilson Lima

$80 Vol.

12%

icon for Evandro de Oliveira

Evandro de Oliveira

$99 Vol.

11%

icon for Plinio Valério

Plinio Valério

$84 Vol.

7%

icon for Professora Evany

Professora Evany

$75 Vol.

6%

icon for Ismael Munduruku

Ismael Munduruku

$72 Vol.

5%

icon for Dailson Corrêa

Dailson Corrêa

$80 Vol.

2%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from AtlasIntel, DMP, and Projeta shows Eduardo Braga (MDB) maintaining a clear lead for one Amazonas Senate seat in the October 4 election, while the contest for second place remains tightly bunched among Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), and incumbent Plínio Valério (PSDB), with margins under five points in the latest surveys. This fragmentation stems from a crowded field of nine declared candidates, shifting voter preferences across party lines, and the mechanics of voters selecting two names, which amplifies small swings in turnout or regional support. Trader consensus pricing Alberto Neto highest for second reflects his consistent polling edge in recent weeks, yet the narrow gaps leave room for late campaign events or alliance shifts to reorder the peloton before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,254
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from AtlasIntel, DMP, and Projeta shows Eduardo Braga (MDB) maintaining a clear lead for one Amazonas Senate seat in the October 4 election, while the contest for second place remains tightly bunched among Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), and incumbent Plínio Valério (PSDB), with margins under five points in the latest surveys. This fragmentation stems from a crowded field of nine declared candidates, shifting voter preferences across party lines, and the mechanics of voters selecting two names, which amplifies small swings in turnout or regional support. Trader consensus pricing Alberto Neto highest for second reflects his consistent polling edge in recent weeks, yet the narrow gaps leave room for late campaign events or alliance shifts to reorder the peloton before ballots close.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,254
Data de Término
4 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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icon for O Delegado Éder Mauro receberá o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado do Pará em 2026?

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icon for Michelle Bolsonaro ganhará o segundo maior número de votos na eleição para o Senado do Distrito Federal em 2026?

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 2º Lugar" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Capitão Alberto Neto" at 56%, followed by "Eduardo Braga" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 2º Lugar" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 2º Lugar," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 2º Lugar" is "Capitão Alberto Neto" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Eduardo Braga" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Eleição para o Senado do Amazonas: 2º Lugar" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.