In Brazil’s Federal District Senate race for the two seats up in the October 2026 election, trader consensus on second place remains tightly bunched because recent polls show a fragmented field with no clear frontrunner behind likely leader Leila do Vôlei. Michelle Bolsonaro’s formal PL candidacy alongside Bia Kicis has consolidated right-leaning support yet split preferences with Erika Kokay’s established PT base, keeping multiple names within striking distance in July–August surveys. Candidate registrations, including suplentes, and the absence of decisive late momentum have sustained uncertainty about vote consolidation. Further polling releases, campaign alliances, or turnout shifts among key blocs could widen gaps before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTiago 44%
Bia Kicis 28%
Marley 27%
Avenir Rosa 25%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Tiago
44%
Bia Kicis
28%
Marley
27%
Avenir Rosa
25%
Erika Kokay
25%
Sebastião Coelho
25%
David Horn
24%
Michelle Bolsonaro
23%
Leila do Vôlei
22%
Ronaldo Fonseca
22%
Zanata
21%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
10%
Guto Felício dos Santos
9%
Tiago 44%
Bia Kicis 28%
Marley 27%
Avenir Rosa 25%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
Tiago
$0 Vol.
44%
Bia Kicis
$0 Vol.
28%
Marley
$0 Vol.
27%
Avenir Rosa
$0 Vol.
25%
Erika Kokay
$0 Vol.
25%
Sebastião Coelho
$0 Vol.
25%
David Horn
$0 Vol.
24%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$0 Vol.
23%
Leila do Vôlei
$0 Vol.
22%
Ronaldo Fonseca
$0 Vol.
22%
Zanata
$0 Vol.
21%
Professor Guilherme Amorim
$40 Vol.
10%
Guto Felício dos Santos
$20 Vol.
9%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Brazil’s Federal District Senate race for the two seats up in the October 2026 election, trader consensus on second place remains tightly bunched because recent polls show a fragmented field with no clear frontrunner behind likely leader Leila do Vôlei. Michelle Bolsonaro’s formal PL candidacy alongside Bia Kicis has consolidated right-leaning support yet split preferences with Erika Kokay’s established PT base, keeping multiple names within striking distance in July–August surveys. Candidate registrations, including suplentes, and the absence of decisive late momentum have sustained uncertainty about vote consolidation. Further polling releases, campaign alliances, or turnout shifts among key blocs could widen gaps before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ET
Volume
$60Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In Brazil’s Federal District Senate race for the two seats up in the October 2026 election, trader consensus on second place remains tightly bunched because recent polls show a fragmented field with no clear frontrunner behind likely leader Leila do Vôlei. Michelle Bolsonaro’s formal PL candidacy alongside Bia Kicis has consolidated right-leaning support yet split preferences with Erika Kokay’s established PT base, keeping multiple names within striking distance in July–August surveys. Candidate registrations, including suplentes, and the absence of decisive late momentum have sustained uncertainty about vote consolidation. Further polling releases, campaign alliances, or turnout shifts among key blocs could widen gaps before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Federal District is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$60Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In Brazil’s Federal District Senate race for the two seats up in the October 2026 election, trader consensus on second place remains tightly bunched because recent polls show a fragmented field with no clear frontrunner behind likely leader Leila do Vôlei. Michelle Bolsonaro’s formal PL candidacy alongside Bia Kicis has consolidated right-leaning support yet split preferences with Erika Kokay’s established PT base, keeping multiple names within striking distance in July–August surveys. Candidate registrations, including suplentes, and the absence of decisive late momentum have sustained uncertainty about vote consolidation. Further polling releases, campaign alliances, or turnout shifts among key blocs could widen gaps before election day.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoRelacionado
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