Recent polling from institutes like Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows a fragmented field for Maranhão’s two Senate seats, with Roseana Sarney (MDB), Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), and others clustered between roughly 9% and 16% in consolidated voting intentions. This narrow spread among incumbents, former officeholders, and party-backed challengers—coupled with high undecided rates—keeps probabilities for second place tightly bunched around Weverton Rocha, Fufuca, and Bonfim in trader assessments. Alliances tied to the gubernatorial race, Lula endorsements for select candidates, and the October 4 first-round timeline continue to shape positioning, while any late shifts in turnout or coalition signals could reorder the lower ranks before ballots close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoEleição para o Senado do Maranhão: 2º Lugar
Eleição para o Senado do Maranhão: 2º Lugar
Weverton Rocha 32%
Fufuca 28%
Lahesio Bonfim 24.8%
Roseana Sarney 15%
$34,675 Vol.
$34,675 Vol.
4 out 2026
Weverton Rocha
32%
Fufuca
28%
Lahesio Bonfim
25%
Roseana Sarney
15%
Eliziane Gama
5%
Enilton Rodrigues
1%
Wilson Leite
1%
Raimundo Moreira
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Weverton Rocha 32%
Fufuca 28%
Lahesio Bonfim 24.8%
Roseana Sarney 15%
$34,675 Vol.
$34,675 Vol.
4 out 2026
Weverton Rocha
$12,877 Vol.
32%
Fufuca
$5,672 Vol.
28%
Lahesio Bonfim
$2,221 Vol.
25%
Roseana Sarney
$8,238 Vol.
15%
Eliziane Gama
$1,616 Vol.
5%
Enilton Rodrigues
$661 Vol.
1%
Wilson Leite
$606 Vol.
1%
Raimundo Moreira
$594 Vol.
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$964 Vol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$519 Vol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$706 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes like Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows a fragmented field for Maranhão’s two Senate seats, with Roseana Sarney (MDB), Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), and others clustered between roughly 9% and 16% in consolidated voting intentions. This narrow spread among incumbents, former officeholders, and party-backed challengers—coupled with high undecided rates—keeps probabilities for second place tightly bunched around Weverton Rocha, Fufuca, and Bonfim in trader assessments. Alliances tied to the gubernatorial race, Lula endorsements for select candidates, and the October 4 first-round timeline continue to shape positioning, while any late shifts in turnout or coalition signals could reorder the lower ranks before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$34,675Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from institutes like Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows a fragmented field for Maranhão’s two Senate seats, with Roseana Sarney (MDB), Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), and others clustered between roughly 9% and 16% in consolidated voting intentions. This narrow spread among incumbents, former officeholders, and party-backed challengers—coupled with high undecided rates—keeps probabilities for second place tightly bunched around Weverton Rocha, Fufuca, and Bonfim in trader assessments. Alliances tied to the gubernatorial race, Lula endorsements for select candidates, and the October 4 first-round timeline continue to shape positioning, while any late shifts in turnout or coalition signals could reorder the lower ranks before ballots close.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$34,675Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from institutes like Quaest and Real Time Big Data shows a fragmented field for Maranhão’s two Senate seats, with Roseana Sarney (MDB), Weverton Rocha (PDT), Lahesio Bonfim (Novo), André Fufuca (PP), and others clustered between roughly 9% and 16% in consolidated voting intentions. This narrow spread among incumbents, former officeholders, and party-backed challengers—coupled with high undecided rates—keeps probabilities for second place tightly bunched around Weverton Rocha, Fufuca, and Bonfim in trader assessments. Alliances tied to the gubernatorial race, Lula endorsements for select candidates, and the October 4 first-round timeline continue to shape positioning, while any late shifts in turnout or coalition signals could reorder the lower ranks before ballots close.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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