Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS point to a minimum temperature near 16°C in Paris on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, which limit overnight radiative cooling and support the market's close contest between 15°C and 16°C outcomes. These conditions follow a mild daytime high near 27°C and align with above-average September norms, while minor variations in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the consensus range against historical variability, with resolution hinging on official Météo-France observations at the close of the 24-hour period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 14 de setembro?
15°C 32%
16°C 23%
12°C ou menos 12%
17°C 11%
12°C ou menos
12%
13°C
3%
14°C
10%
15°C
32%
16°C
36%
17°C
11%
18°C
10%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C ou mais
2%
15°C 32%
16°C 23%
12°C ou menos 12%
17°C 11%
12°C ou menos
12%
13°C
3%
14°C
10%
15°C
32%
16°C
36%
17°C
11%
18°C
10%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from models such as GFS point to a minimum temperature near 16°C in Paris on September 14 under partly cloudy skies and light northwest winds, which limit overnight radiative cooling and support the market's close contest between 15°C and 16°C outcomes. These conditions follow a mild daytime high near 27°C and align with above-average September norms, while minor variations in predicted cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the low by 1–2°C. Traders appear to weigh the consensus range against historical variability, with resolution hinging on official Météo-France observations at the close of the 24-hour period.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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