**Forecast models from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a daytime high in Tokyo of 26–27°C on September 13, 2026, under building high pressure near 1020 hPa and light easterly to southerly winds.** Recent heavy rains and cooler air masses earlier in the month have suppressed temperatures, keeping afternoon readings moderate amid partial cloud cover and low precipitation chances. This places the market-implied probabilities—led by 26°C at 41%—in close alignment with current observational trends and seasonal mid-September baselines for the region, where highs typically range 24–28°C absent strong synoptic forcing. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of stable atmospheric conditions and limited warming potential against minor uncertainties in exact peak timing or localized urban heat effects.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Tóquio no dia 13 de setembro?
26°C 39%
25°C 32%
27°C 12%
24°C 11%
NOVO
$32,787 Vol.
NOVO
$32,787 Vol.
13 set 2026
21°C ou menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
11%
25°C
32%
26°C
39%
27°C
12%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou mais
<1%
26°C 39%
25°C 32%
27°C 12%
24°C 11%
NOVO
$32,787 Vol.
NOVO
$32,787 Vol.
13 set 2026
21°C ou menos
$1,377 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,142 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,639 Vol.
3%
24°C
$3,582 Vol.
11%
25°C
$3,246 Vol.
32%
26°C
$3,860 Vol.
39%
27°C
$3,927 Vol.
12%
28°C
$3,053 Vol.
4%
29°C
$1,254 Vol.
2%
30°C
$1,226 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou mais
$1,483 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a daytime high in Tokyo of 26–27°C on September 13, 2026, under building high pressure near 1020 hPa and light easterly to southerly winds.**
Recent heavy rains and cooler air masses earlier in the month have suppressed temperatures, keeping afternoon readings moderate amid partial cloud cover and low precipitation chances. This places the market-implied probabilities—led by 26°C at 41%—in close alignment with current observational trends and seasonal mid-September baselines for the region, where highs typically range 24–28°C absent strong synoptic forcing. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of stable atmospheric conditions and limited warming potential against minor uncertainties in exact peak timing or localized urban heat effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$32,787Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a daytime high in Tokyo of 26–27°C on September 13, 2026, under building high pressure near 1020 hPa and light easterly to southerly winds.**
Recent heavy rains and cooler air masses earlier in the month have suppressed temperatures, keeping afternoon readings moderate amid partial cloud cover and low precipitation chances. This places the market-implied probabilities—led by 26°C at 41%—in close alignment with current observational trends and seasonal mid-September baselines for the region, where highs typically range 24–28°C absent strong synoptic forcing. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of stable atmospheric conditions and limited warming potential against minor uncertainties in exact peak timing or localized urban heat effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,787Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like the Japan Meteorological Agency and global ensembles indicate a daytime high in Tokyo of 26–27°C on September 13, 2026, under building high pressure near 1020 hPa and light easterly to southerly winds.** Recent heavy rains and cooler air masses earlier in the month have suppressed temperatures, keeping afternoon readings moderate amid partial cloud cover and low precipitation chances. This places the market-implied probabilities—led by 26°C at 41%—in close alignment with current observational trends and seasonal mid-September baselines for the region, where highs typically range 24–28°C absent strong synoptic forcing. Traders appear to weigh the consensus of stable atmospheric conditions and limited warming potential against minor uncertainties in exact peak timing or localized urban heat effects.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions