Recent model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Service points to overnight lows in Mexico City on September 14 around 12–14°C, driven by widespread cloud cover and light rain tied to the active wet season and a strengthening El Niño pattern that modulates regional moisture transport. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies, but persistent cloudiness and humidity limit temperature drops, keeping extremes above historical September averages of about 10–12°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 13–17°C outcomes because ensemble forecasts show limited spread in minimums, with higher probabilities reflecting the current steering pattern and lack of strong cold-air advection; very low readings below 10°C would require atypical clear, dry conditions not supported by latest runs. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa na Cidade do México em 14 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa na Cidade do México em 14 de setembro?
17°C ou mais 47%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
7°C ou menos
4%
8°C
4%
9°C
4%
10°C
39%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
39%
17°C ou mais
47%
17°C ou mais 47%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
NOVO
NOVO
14 set 2026
7°C ou menos
$0 Vol.
4%
8°C
$0 Vol.
4%
9°C
$0 Vol.
4%
10°C
$0 Vol.
39%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$3 Vol.
40%
15°C
$3 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Service points to overnight lows in Mexico City on September 14 around 12–14°C, driven by widespread cloud cover and light rain tied to the active wet season and a strengthening El Niño pattern that modulates regional moisture transport. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies, but persistent cloudiness and humidity limit temperature drops, keeping extremes above historical September averages of about 10–12°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 13–17°C outcomes because ensemble forecasts show limited spread in minimums, with higher probabilities reflecting the current steering pattern and lack of strong cold-air advection; very low readings below 10°C would require atypical clear, dry conditions not supported by latest runs. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ET
Volume
$5Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Service points to overnight lows in Mexico City on September 14 around 12–14°C, driven by widespread cloud cover and light rain tied to the active wet season and a strengthening El Niño pattern that modulates regional moisture transport. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies, but persistent cloudiness and humidity limit temperature drops, keeping extremes above historical September averages of about 10–12°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 13–17°C outcomes because ensemble forecasts show limited spread in minimums, with higher probabilities reflecting the current steering pattern and lack of strong cold-air advection; very low readings below 10°C would require atypical clear, dry conditions not supported by latest runs. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5Data de Término
14 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 12, 2026, 8:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the National Meteorological Service points to overnight lows in Mexico City on September 14 around 12–14°C, driven by widespread cloud cover and light rain tied to the active wet season and a strengthening El Niño pattern that modulates regional moisture transport. Mexico City’s high elevation near 2,240 meters promotes efficient nocturnal radiative cooling under clear skies, but persistent cloudiness and humidity limit temperature drops, keeping extremes above historical September averages of about 10–12°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 13–17°C outcomes because ensemble forecasts show limited spread in minimums, with higher probabilities reflecting the current steering pattern and lack of strong cold-air advection; very low readings below 10°C would require atypical clear, dry conditions not supported by latest runs. Updated guidance ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions