**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C minimum in Tokyo on September 13, driven by official Japan Meteorological Agency observations and model consensus showing overnight temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and high humidity.** Persistent cloud cover and recent showers have limited radiative cooling, keeping the low above historical September averages for clear nights while aligning with current readings around 21–22°C earlier in the period. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified data from Tokyo stations rather than long-range projections. A shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could enhance cooling and push the minimum to 19°C or lower, though current steering patterns and moisture make such a drop unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 13 de setembro?
20°C 99%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
17°C ou menos <1%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
17°C ou menos
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
99%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C ou mais
<1%
20°C 99%
19°C <1%
18°C <1%
17°C ou menos <1%
NOVO
NOVO
13 set 2026
17°C ou menos
$158 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$569 Vol.
1%
19°C
$907 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,126 Vol.
99%
21°C
$3,109 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,917 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$869 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$232 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$85 Vol.
<1%
27°C ou mais
$138 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C minimum in Tokyo on September 13, driven by official Japan Meteorological Agency observations and model consensus showing overnight temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and high humidity.**
Persistent cloud cover and recent showers have limited radiative cooling, keeping the low above historical September averages for clear nights while aligning with current readings around 21–22°C earlier in the period. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified data from Tokyo stations rather than long-range projections. A shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could enhance cooling and push the minimum to 19°C or lower, though current steering patterns and moisture make such a drop unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$9,307Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C minimum in Tokyo on September 13, driven by official Japan Meteorological Agency observations and model consensus showing overnight temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and high humidity.**
Persistent cloud cover and recent showers have limited radiative cooling, keeping the low above historical September averages for clear nights while aligning with current readings around 21–22°C earlier in the period. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified data from Tokyo stations rather than long-range projections. A shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could enhance cooling and push the minimum to 19°C or lower, though current steering patterns and moisture make such a drop unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,307Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 20°C minimum in Tokyo on September 13, driven by official Japan Meteorological Agency observations and model consensus showing overnight temperatures stabilizing near this threshold under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and high humidity.** Persistent cloud cover and recent showers have limited radiative cooling, keeping the low above historical September averages for clear nights while aligning with current readings around 21–22°C earlier in the period. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified data from Tokyo stations rather than long-range projections. A shift to clearer skies or stronger northerly flow could enhance cooling and push the minimum to 19°C or lower, though current steering patterns and moisture make such a drop unlikely before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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