Forecast consensus from multiple models places Chengdu’s September 13 maximum near 24 °C under cloudy skies and light rain that limit daytime heating in the Sichuan basin. Seasonal norms for mid-September, combined with recent observations showing surface temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 17–19 °C to afternoon peaks of 24–25 °C, underpin the market’s strong 83 % implied probability for 24 °C and secondary 13.5 % weighting for 25 °C. Persistent cloud cover and modest southerly flow have prevented stronger warming, while official monitoring by the China Meteorological Administration will record the final daily high for market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu no dia 13 de setembro?
24°C 81%
25°C 18%
26°C 2%
27°C <1%
$39,603 Vol.
$39,603 Vol.
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
81%
25°C
18%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
24°C 81%
25°C 18%
26°C 2%
27°C <1%
$39,603 Vol.
$39,603 Vol.
20°C ou menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
81%
25°C
18%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models places Chengdu’s September 13 maximum near 24 °C under cloudy skies and light rain that limit daytime heating in the Sichuan basin. Seasonal norms for mid-September, combined with recent observations showing surface temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 17–19 °C to afternoon peaks of 24–25 °C, underpin the market’s strong 83 % implied probability for 24 °C and secondary 13.5 % weighting for 25 °C. Persistent cloud cover and modest southerly flow have prevented stronger warming, while official monitoring by the China Meteorological Administration will record the final daily high for market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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