Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers show mostly cloudy conditions with light rain possible over Chengdu on September 14, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near the seasonal average of 25°C. Persistent cloud cover limits daytime solar heating while elevated humidity and light variable winds reduce the potential for stronger warming, with any showers providing additional localized cooling. Model consensus across runs places the daily high most often between 24–26°C, though small differences in cloud thickness or precipitation timing could shift the outcome by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly given the closely matched probabilities, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations. Updated model guidance expected overnight may further narrow the range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Chengdu em 14 de setembro?
25°C 27%
24°C 22%
26°C 21%
23°C 10%
22°C ou menos
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
22%
25°C
27%
26°C
21%
27°C
10%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
25°C 27%
24°C 22%
26°C 21%
23°C 10%
22°C ou menos
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
22%
25°C
27%
26°C
21%
27°C
10%
28°C
5%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers show mostly cloudy conditions with light rain possible over Chengdu on September 14, keeping maximum temperatures clustered near the seasonal average of 25°C. Persistent cloud cover limits daytime solar heating while elevated humidity and light variable winds reduce the potential for stronger warming, with any showers providing additional localized cooling. Model consensus across runs places the daily high most often between 24–26°C, though small differences in cloud thickness or precipitation timing could shift the outcome by a degree or two. Traders appear to weigh these variables evenly given the closely matched probabilities, with resolution hinging on official China Meteorological Administration observations. Updated model guidance expected overnight may further narrow the range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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