Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from multiple agencies indicate a daily maximum temperature in Qingdao of 27–28°C today under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and low precipitation chances. This consensus arises from stable late-summer atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity around 55–60% and no significant frontal systems or heat advection altering the coastal pattern. The market's overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for 28°C reflects traders' alignment with this narrow observational range. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected model revision showing sustained clearing and stronger insolation pushing readings above 29°C or localized cooling below 27°C, though current data show minimal divergence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 13 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Qingdao em 13 de setembro?
28°C 95%
29°C 4%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
$21,631 Vol.
$21,631 Vol.
13 set 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
95%
29°C
4%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
28°C 95%
29°C 4%
22°C ou menos <1%
23°C <1%
$21,631 Vol.
$21,631 Vol.
13 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$183 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$168 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$227 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,171 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,642 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,943 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,638 Vol.
95%
29°C
$4,176 Vol.
4%
30°C
$1,291 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$570 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou mais
$622 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from multiple agencies indicate a daily maximum temperature in Qingdao of 27–28°C today under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and low precipitation chances. This consensus arises from stable late-summer atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity around 55–60% and no significant frontal systems or heat advection altering the coastal pattern. The market's overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for 28°C reflects traders' alignment with this narrow observational range. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected model revision showing sustained clearing and stronger insolation pushing readings above 29°C or localized cooling below 27°C, though current data show minimal divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$21,631Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from multiple agencies indicate a daily maximum temperature in Qingdao of 27–28°C today under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and low precipitation chances. This consensus arises from stable late-summer atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity around 55–60% and no significant frontal systems or heat advection altering the coastal pattern. The market's overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for 28°C reflects traders' alignment with this narrow observational range. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected model revision showing sustained clearing and stronger insolation pushing readings above 29°C or localized cooling below 27°C, though current data show minimal divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,631Data de Término
13 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from multiple agencies indicate a daily maximum temperature in Qingdao of 27–28°C today under mostly cloudy to overcast skies with light southwesterly winds and low precipitation chances. This consensus arises from stable late-summer atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity around 55–60% and no significant frontal systems or heat advection altering the coastal pattern. The market's overwhelming 97.5% implied probability for 28°C reflects traders' alignment with this narrow observational range. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected model revision showing sustained clearing and stronger insolation pushing readings above 29°C or localized cooling below 27°C, though current data show minimal divergence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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