Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris near 15–16°C on September 13, driven by mild overnight conditions under a high-pressure ridge with light westerly winds and limited radiative cooling. Partly cloudy skies have reduced heat loss compared to clear nights, while urban heat island effects and warm advection from the southwest have kept surface temperatures elevated above the September climatological low of about 12°C. Trader emphasis on the 15°C and 16°C outcomes reflects tight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts, with small shifts in cloud timing or wind gusts capable of nudging the overnight low by 1°C either way before dawn observations finalize the result.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 13 de setembro?
17°C 44%
15°C 30%
16°C 29%
14°C 10%
9°C ou menos
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
5%
14°C
19%
15°C
30%
16°C
29%
17°C
44%
18°C
<1%
19°C ou mais
<1%
17°C 44%
15°C 30%
16°C 29%
14°C 10%
9°C ou menos
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
5%
14°C
19%
15°C
30%
16°C
29%
17°C
44%
18°C
<1%
19°C ou mais
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Paris near 15–16°C on September 13, driven by mild overnight conditions under a high-pressure ridge with light westerly winds and limited radiative cooling. Partly cloudy skies have reduced heat loss compared to clear nights, while urban heat island effects and warm advection from the southwest have kept surface temperatures elevated above the September climatological low of about 12°C. Trader emphasis on the 15°C and 16°C outcomes reflects tight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point forecasts, with small shifts in cloud timing or wind gusts capable of nudging the overnight low by 1°C either way before dawn observations finalize the result.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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