**Current NWS and model guidance for Houston shows a Monday night low in the upper 70s (around 78°F) under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and modest moisture from a weak Gulf disturbance, keeping radiative cooling limited.** High dew points near 74–76°F and heat indices above 100°F during the day further support overnight minima in the 76–80°F range, with any showers after midnight potentially suppressing further drops. The tight clustering of market-implied odds across the 74–79°F bins reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, typical for late-summer subtropical nights where small changes in wind or convective timing can shift the minimum by a few degrees. Traders appear to weigh the official forecast consensus against historical variability and possible late adjustments from updated runs ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Houston em 31 de agosto?
Temperatura mais baixa em Houston em 31 de agosto?
74-75°F 39%
78-79°F 35%
76-77°F 31%
80-81°F 19%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
69°F ou menos
17%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
6%
88°F ou mais
<1%
74-75°F 39%
78-79°F 35%
76-77°F 31%
80-81°F 19%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
69°F ou menos
$15 Vol.
17%
70-71°F
$6 Vol.
14%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
19%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
39%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
31%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
35%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
19%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
18%
84-85°F
$20 Vol.
8%
86-87°F
$145 Vol.
6%
88°F ou mais
$145 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current NWS and model guidance for Houston shows a Monday night low in the upper 70s (around 78°F) under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and modest moisture from a weak Gulf disturbance, keeping radiative cooling limited.** High dew points near 74–76°F and heat indices above 100°F during the day further support overnight minima in the 76–80°F range, with any showers after midnight potentially suppressing further drops. The tight clustering of market-implied odds across the 74–79°F bins reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, typical for late-summer subtropical nights where small changes in wind or convective timing can shift the minimum by a few degrees. Traders appear to weigh the official forecast consensus against historical variability and possible late adjustments from updated runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
Volume
$331Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 3:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current NWS and model guidance for Houston shows a Monday night low in the upper 70s (around 78°F) under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and modest moisture from a weak Gulf disturbance, keeping radiative cooling limited.** High dew points near 74–76°F and heat indices above 100°F during the day further support overnight minima in the 76–80°F range, with any showers after midnight potentially suppressing further drops. The tight clustering of market-implied odds across the 74–79°F bins reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, typical for late-summer subtropical nights where small changes in wind or convective timing can shift the minimum by a few degrees. Traders appear to weigh the official forecast consensus against historical variability and possible late adjustments from updated runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$331Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 3:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current NWS and model guidance for Houston shows a Monday night low in the upper 70s (around 78°F) under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and modest moisture from a weak Gulf disturbance, keeping radiative cooling limited.** High dew points near 74–76°F and heat indices above 100°F during the day further support overnight minima in the 76–80°F range, with any showers after midnight potentially suppressing further drops. The tight clustering of market-implied odds across the 74–79°F bins reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover, typical for late-summer subtropical nights where small changes in wind or convective timing can shift the minimum by a few degrees. Traders appear to weigh the official forecast consensus against historical variability and possible late adjustments from updated runs ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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