Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to overnight lows of 21–24°C in Beijing on September 5 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limit radiative cooling. This setup aligns with early-autumn patterns but sits above the long-term average low of 18.4°C for the date. Market-implied odds strongly favor an 18°C minimum, reflecting traders’ weighting of historical station records, model consensus on potential for slightly stronger cooling, and the narrow window before resolution. Upcoming official observations from Beijing stations will determine the exact minimum, with any deviation in wind or cloud cover able to shift the outcome within the 17–19°C band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Pequim no dia 5 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Pequim no dia 5 de setembro?
18°C 99%
17°C 2%
14°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
5 set 2026
14°C ou menos
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
99%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou mais
<1%
18°C 99%
17°C 2%
14°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
NOVO
NOVO
5 set 2026
14°C ou menos
$67 Vol.
1%
15°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$32 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$116 Vol.
2%
18°C
$623 Vol.
99%
19°C
$347 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$317 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
24°C ou mais
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to overnight lows of 21–24°C in Beijing on September 5 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limit radiative cooling. This setup aligns with early-autumn patterns but sits above the long-term average low of 18.4°C for the date. Market-implied odds strongly favor an 18°C minimum, reflecting traders’ weighting of historical station records, model consensus on potential for slightly stronger cooling, and the narrow window before resolution. Upcoming official observations from Beijing stations will determine the exact minimum, with any deviation in wind or cloud cover able to shift the outcome within the 17–19°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,704Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to overnight lows of 21–24°C in Beijing on September 5 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limit radiative cooling. This setup aligns with early-autumn patterns but sits above the long-term average low of 18.4°C for the date. Market-implied odds strongly favor an 18°C minimum, reflecting traders’ weighting of historical station records, model consensus on potential for slightly stronger cooling, and the narrow window before resolution. Upcoming official observations from Beijing stations will determine the exact minimum, with any deviation in wind or cloud cover able to shift the outcome within the 17–19°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,704Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources point to overnight lows of 21–24°C in Beijing on September 5 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity that limit radiative cooling. This setup aligns with early-autumn patterns but sits above the long-term average low of 18.4°C for the date. Market-implied odds strongly favor an 18°C minimum, reflecting traders’ weighting of historical station records, model consensus on potential for slightly stronger cooling, and the narrow window before resolution. Upcoming official observations from Beijing stations will determine the exact minimum, with any deviation in wind or cloud cover able to shift the outcome within the 17–19°C band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions