Recent showers, persistent cloud cover, and elevated humidity from tropical moisture kept Austin overnight temperatures well above the 71°F seasonal average on September 4, 2026. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom recorded a minimum of 79°F amid light rain and limited radiational cooling, aligning with the market's leading 78–81°F buckets. Model consensus and surface analyses showed minimal diurnal range as southeasterly flow and widespread moisture suppressed temperature drops, pushing trader-implied odds toward the upper 70s to low 80s. Upcoming NWS verification data will confirm exact resolution within these warm thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Austin no dia 4 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa em Austin no dia 4 de setembro?
80-81°F 99%
69°F ou menos 20%
72-73°F 20%
74-75°F 20%
$1,262 Vol.
$1,262 Vol.
4 set 2026
69°F ou menos
Não
70-71°F
Não
72-73°F
Não
74-75°F
Não
76-77°F
Não
78-79°F
Não
80-81°F
Sim
82-83°F
Não
84-85°F
Não
86-87°F
Não
88°F ou mais
Não
80-81°F 99%
69°F ou menos 20%
72-73°F 20%
74-75°F 20%
$1,262 Vol.
$1,262 Vol.
4 set 2026
69°F ou menos
$55 Vol.
Não
70-71°F
$112 Vol.
Não
72-73°F
$234 Vol.
Não
74-75°F
$27 Vol.
Não
76-77°F
$27 Vol.
Não
78-79°F
$37 Vol.
Não
80-81°F
$149 Vol.
Sim
82-83°F
$145 Vol.
Não
84-85°F
$102 Vol.
Não
86-87°F
$107 Vol.
Não
88°F ou mais
$267 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent showers, persistent cloud cover, and elevated humidity from tropical moisture kept Austin overnight temperatures well above the 71°F seasonal average on September 4, 2026. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom recorded a minimum of 79°F amid light rain and limited radiational cooling, aligning with the market's leading 78–81°F buckets. Model consensus and surface analyses showed minimal diurnal range as southeasterly flow and widespread moisture suppressed temperature drops, pushing trader-implied odds toward the upper 70s to low 80s. Upcoming NWS verification data will confirm exact resolution within these warm thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,262Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent showers, persistent cloud cover, and elevated humidity from tropical moisture kept Austin overnight temperatures well above the 71°F seasonal average on September 4, 2026. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom recorded a minimum of 79°F amid light rain and limited radiational cooling, aligning with the market's leading 78–81°F buckets. Model consensus and surface analyses showed minimal diurnal range as southeasterly flow and widespread moisture suppressed temperature drops, pushing trader-implied odds toward the upper 70s to low 80s. Upcoming NWS verification data will confirm exact resolution within these warm thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,262Data de Término
4 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 2, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent showers, persistent cloud cover, and elevated humidity from tropical moisture kept Austin overnight temperatures well above the 71°F seasonal average on September 4, 2026. Official observations from Austin-Bergstrom recorded a minimum of 79°F amid light rain and limited radiational cooling, aligning with the market's leading 78–81°F buckets. Model consensus and surface analyses showed minimal diurnal range as southeasterly flow and widespread moisture suppressed temperature drops, pushing trader-implied odds toward the upper 70s to low 80s. Upcoming NWS verification data will confirm exact resolution within these warm thresholds.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions