Illinois's 10th congressional district, encompassing northern Chicago suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+12, strongly favors Democratic candidates due to its demographic profile and voting history. Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and previously won the seat by double-digit margins, including 60 percent in 2024. With the Republican nominee now set and the November general election roughly three months away, trader consensus reflects the district's consistent partisan lean and limited crossover potential. A late-breaking national wave, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts have rarely altered outcomes in this safely Democratic territory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara IL-10
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara IL-10
$30,159 Vol.
$30,159 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
2%
$30,159 Vol.
$30,159 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$19,446 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$10,713 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 10th congressional district, encompassing northern Chicago suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+12, strongly favors Democratic candidates due to its demographic profile and voting history. Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and previously won the seat by double-digit margins, including 60 percent in 2024. With the Republican nominee now set and the November general election roughly three months away, trader consensus reflects the district's consistent partisan lean and limited crossover potential. A late-breaking national wave, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts have rarely altered outcomes in this safely Democratic territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$30,159Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 10th congressional district, encompassing northern Chicago suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+12, strongly favors Democratic candidates due to its demographic profile and voting history. Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and previously won the seat by double-digit margins, including 60 percent in 2024. With the Republican nominee now set and the November general election roughly three months away, trader consensus reflects the district's consistent partisan lean and limited crossover potential. A late-breaking national wave, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts have rarely altered outcomes in this safely Democratic territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,159Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 10th congressional district, encompassing northern Chicago suburbs with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+12, strongly favors Democratic candidates due to its demographic profile and voting history. Incumbent Democrat Brad Schneider secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and previously won the seat by double-digit margins, including 60 percent in 2024. With the Republican nominee now set and the November general election roughly three months away, trader consensus reflects the district's consistent partisan lean and limited crossover potential. A late-breaking national wave, major scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts have rarely altered outcomes in this safely Democratic territory.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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