Tennessee's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid R rating and partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Incumbent David Kustoff, who won reelection with 72 percent in 2024, secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary following May 2026 redistricting that adjusted boundaries around Memphis suburbs and rural West Tennessee counties without shifting the overall partisan balance. Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn, a Shelby County official, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national Democratic surge, or unusually low GOP turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns suggest limited scope for reversal before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da casa TN-08
Vencedor da eleição da casa TN-08
$30,768 Vol.
$30,768 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
92%
Partido Democrata
6%
$30,768 Vol.
$30,768 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$18,242 Vol.
92%
Partido Democrata
$12,526 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid R rating and partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Incumbent David Kustoff, who won reelection with 72 percent in 2024, secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary following May 2026 redistricting that adjusted boundaries around Memphis suburbs and rural West Tennessee counties without shifting the overall partisan balance. Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn, a Shelby County official, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national Democratic surge, or unusually low GOP turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns suggest limited scope for reversal before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$30,768Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid R rating and partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Incumbent David Kustoff, who won reelection with 72 percent in 2024, secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary following May 2026 redistricting that adjusted boundaries around Memphis suburbs and rural West Tennessee counties without shifting the overall partisan balance. Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn, a Shelby County official, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national Democratic surge, or unusually low GOP turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns suggest limited scope for reversal before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,768Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 8th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid R rating and partisan voting index favoring the GOP. Incumbent David Kustoff, who won reelection with 72 percent in 2024, secured the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary following May 2026 redistricting that adjusted boundaries around Memphis suburbs and rural West Tennessee counties without shifting the overall partisan balance. Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn, a Shelby County official, faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have dominated recent cycles. Trader consensus at 92 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national Democratic surge, or unusually low GOP turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns suggest limited scope for reversal before the November 3 general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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