The district's pronounced Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates including Donald Trump in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 90.5%. Incumbent Craig Goldman benefits from this structural advantage in western Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs and Parker County, with limited Democratic fundraising or organizational presence to narrow the gap. The Democratic nominee, Heli Rodriguez Prilliman, emerged from the March 2026 primary but faces the same headwinds that have kept the seat out of reach. A major scandal involving the incumbent or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could theoretically alter the trajectory, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts indicate such shifts remain rare.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTX-12 House Election Winner
TX-12 House Election Winner
$25,032 Vol.
$25,032 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
7%
$25,032 Vol.
$25,032 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republican Party
$15,314 Vol.
91%
Democratic Party
$9,718 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's pronounced Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates including Donald Trump in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 90.5%. Incumbent Craig Goldman benefits from this structural advantage in western Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs and Parker County, with limited Democratic fundraising or organizational presence to narrow the gap. The Democratic nominee, Heli Rodriguez Prilliman, emerged from the March 2026 primary but faces the same headwinds that have kept the seat out of reach. A major scandal involving the incumbent or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could theoretically alter the trajectory, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts indicate such shifts remain rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$25,032Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's pronounced Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates including Donald Trump in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 90.5%. Incumbent Craig Goldman benefits from this structural advantage in western Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs and Parker County, with limited Democratic fundraising or organizational presence to narrow the gap. The Democratic nominee, Heli Rodriguez Prilliman, emerged from the March 2026 primary but faces the same headwinds that have kept the seat out of reach. A major scandal involving the incumbent or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could theoretically alter the trajectory, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts indicate such shifts remain rare.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,032Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's pronounced Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates including Donald Trump in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 90.5%. Incumbent Craig Goldman benefits from this structural advantage in western Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs and Parker County, with limited Democratic fundraising or organizational presence to narrow the gap. The Democratic nominee, Heli Rodriguez Prilliman, emerged from the March 2026 primary but faces the same headwinds that have kept the seat out of reach. A major scandal involving the incumbent or an unprecedented national Democratic surge could theoretically alter the trajectory, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts indicate such shifts remain rare.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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