The open NY-21 seat, created after longtime Republican incumbent Elise Stefanik launched a 2026 gubernatorial campaign, favors the GOP nominee due to the district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination in the June 23 primary, while Blake Gendebien won the Democratic contest, setting up a November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with historical voting patterns and elevated GOP primary turnout. Trader consensus at 72.5% for Republicans and 24% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in the race's fundamentals since the primaries.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados de NY-21
Vencedor da eleição para a Câmara dos Deputados de NY-21
$56,270 Vol.
$56,270 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
73%
Partido Democrata
24%
$56,270 Vol.
$56,270 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$26,804 Vol.
73%
Partido Democrata
$29,466 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open NY-21 seat, created after longtime Republican incumbent Elise Stefanik launched a 2026 gubernatorial campaign, favors the GOP nominee due to the district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination in the June 23 primary, while Blake Gendebien won the Democratic contest, setting up a November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with historical voting patterns and elevated GOP primary turnout. Trader consensus at 72.5% for Republicans and 24% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in the race's fundamentals since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$56,270Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open NY-21 seat, created after longtime Republican incumbent Elise Stefanik launched a 2026 gubernatorial campaign, favors the GOP nominee due to the district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination in the June 23 primary, while Blake Gendebien won the Democratic contest, setting up a November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with historical voting patterns and elevated GOP primary turnout. Trader consensus at 72.5% for Republicans and 24% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in the race's fundamentals since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$56,270Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open NY-21 seat, created after longtime Republican incumbent Elise Stefanik launched a 2026 gubernatorial campaign, favors the GOP nominee due to the district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Republican margins in recent cycles. Anthony Constantino secured the Republican nomination in the June 23 primary, while Blake Gendebien won the Democratic contest, setting up a November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, aligning with historical voting patterns and elevated GOP primary turnout. Trader consensus at 72.5% for Republicans and 24% for Democrats reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in the race's fundamentals since the primaries.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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