The Illinois 9th congressional district, anchored in northern Chicago and North Shore suburbs including Evanston and Skokie, features a long-standing Democratic advantage rooted in voter registration and past election margins. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened the seat, but Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 29 percent of the vote against a crowded field. Republican nominee John Elleson faces limited resources and visibility in the solidly blue territory, where forecasters rate the race as Safe or Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic reflects the district’s structural lean and absence of competitive general-election dynamics. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national wave shifting turnout could still alter the outcome before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIL-09 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$26,577 Vol.
$26,577 Vol.
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
$26,577 Vol.
$26,577 Vol.
Partido Democrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 9th congressional district, anchored in northern Chicago and North Shore suburbs including Evanston and Skokie, features a long-standing Democratic advantage rooted in voter registration and past election margins. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky’s retirement opened the seat, but Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 29 percent of the vote against a crowded field. Republican nominee John Elleson faces limited resources and visibility in the solidly blue territory, where forecasters rate the race as Safe or Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Democratic reflects the district’s structural lean and absence of competitive general-election dynamics. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national wave shifting turnout could still alter the outcome before November.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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