Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith advanced from Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary with a commanding share against Republican Douglas Basler, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solidly Democratic, consistent with historical voting patterns and Smith’s long tenure. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent, aligning with the seat’s structural advantages and lack of competitive polling shifts. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição da Casa WA-09
Vencedor da eleição da Casa WA-09
$29,095 Vol.
$29,095 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$29,095 Vol.
$29,095 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Democrata
$11,539 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$17,556 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith advanced from Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary with a commanding share against Republican Douglas Basler, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solidly Democratic, consistent with historical voting patterns and Smith’s long tenure. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent, aligning with the seat’s structural advantages and lack of competitive polling shifts. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$29,095Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith advanced from Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary with a commanding share against Republican Douglas Basler, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solidly Democratic, consistent with historical voting patterns and Smith’s long tenure. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent, aligning with the seat’s structural advantages and lack of competitive polling shifts. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,095Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith advanced from Washington’s August 2026 top-two primary with a commanding share against Republican Douglas Basler, reflecting the district’s consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solidly Democratic, consistent with historical voting patterns and Smith’s long tenure. Traders price the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent, aligning with the seat’s structural advantages and lack of competitive polling shifts. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though no such developments have emerged in the current cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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