Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democratic nominee Josh Turek in the November 2026 general election. Both candidates secured their nominations in the June 2 primaries, with Hinson winning 74% against Jim Carlin after endorsements from Ernst and former President Trump, while Turek prevailed with 63% over Zach Wahls. Recent polling through early August shows a competitive contest, with results ranging from slight Hinson leads of 2 points to Turek edges of 4 points among likely voters. Iowa's longstanding Republican tilt, combined with Hinson's congressional profile, stronger fundraising totals through June, and party infrastructure, underpin the 57% trader consensus for Hinson, though Turek's profile has narrowed the gap in this battleground race.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor da eleição para o Senado de Iowa
Vencedor da eleição para o Senado de Iowa
$180,830 Vol.
$180,830 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
57%
Josh Turek (D)
44%
$180,830 Vol.
$180,830 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
$91,343 Vol.
57%
Josh Turek (D)
$89,487 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democratic nominee Josh Turek in the November 2026 general election. Both candidates secured their nominations in the June 2 primaries, with Hinson winning 74% against Jim Carlin after endorsements from Ernst and former President Trump, while Turek prevailed with 63% over Zach Wahls. Recent polling through early August shows a competitive contest, with results ranging from slight Hinson leads of 2 points to Turek edges of 4 points among likely voters. Iowa's longstanding Republican tilt, combined with Hinson's congressional profile, stronger fundraising totals through June, and party infrastructure, underpin the 57% trader consensus for Hinson, though Turek's profile has narrowed the gap in this battleground race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Volume
$180,830Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democratic nominee Josh Turek in the November 2026 general election. Both candidates secured their nominations in the June 2 primaries, with Hinson winning 74% against Jim Carlin after endorsements from Ernst and former President Trump, while Turek prevailed with 63% over Zach Wahls. Recent polling through early August shows a competitive contest, with results ranging from slight Hinson leads of 2 points to Turek edges of 4 points among likely voters. Iowa's longstanding Republican tilt, combined with Hinson's congressional profile, stronger fundraising totals through June, and party infrastructure, underpin the 57% trader consensus for Hinson, though Turek's profile has narrowed the gap in this battleground race.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$180,830Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican incumbent Joni Ernst, features Republican nominee Ashley Hinson facing Democratic nominee Josh Turek in the November 2026 general election. Both candidates secured their nominations in the June 2 primaries, with Hinson winning 74% against Jim Carlin after endorsements from Ernst and former President Trump, while Turek prevailed with 63% over Zach Wahls. Recent polling through early August shows a competitive contest, with results ranging from slight Hinson leads of 2 points to Turek edges of 4 points among likely voters. Iowa's longstanding Republican tilt, combined with Hinson's congressional profile, stronger fundraising totals through June, and party infrastructure, underpin the 57% trader consensus for Hinson, though Turek's profile has narrowed the gap in this battleground race.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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