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icon for Votar no vencedor na rodada final das primárias do Senado do Alasca?
Eleições·Eleições Nos EUA

Votar no vencedor na rodada final das primárias do Senado do Alasca?

icon for Votar no vencedor na rodada final das primárias do Senado do Alasca?
Eleições·Eleições Nos EUA

Votar no vencedor na rodada final das primárias do Senado do Alasca?

Mary Peltola 64%

Sen. Dan S. Sullivan 32.9%

Earl D. "Skip" Southworth 4.8%

Richard Grayson 1.6%

Polymarket

$15,493 Vol.

Mary Peltola 64%

Sen. Dan S. Sullivan 32.9%

Earl D. "Skip" Southworth 4.8%

Richard Grayson 1.6%

Polymarket

$15,493 Vol.

Mary Peltola

$3,379 Vol.

64%

Sen. Dan S. Sullivan

$1,652 Vol.

33%

Earl D. "Skip" Southworth

$547 Vol.

5%

Richard Grayson

$643 Vol.

2%

Heather McElwain

$540 Vol.

1%

Shirley Saucerman

$508 Vol.

1%

Richard Benedict Mayers

$545 Vol.

1%

David Leslie

$2,773 Vol.

1%

Dan J. Sullivan

$1,090 Vol.

1%

Scott Kohlhaas

$493 Vol.

1%

Dustin Darden

$599 Vol.

<1%

Fred C. Grauberger

$625 Vol.

<1%

Reece Roberts

$556 Vol.

<1%

Carol Hafner

$491 Vol.

<1%

Gerald L. Heikes

$502 Vol.

<1%

Sid Hill

$550 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. **In Alaska’s August 18, 2026 nonpartisan top-four primary, a crowded field of roughly 15–20 candidates—including incumbent Sen. Dan S. Sullivan (R), former Rep. Mary Peltola (D), a second Republican named Dan J. Sullivan, Dustin Darden, and numerous lesser-known contenders—makes the plurality vote leader highly uncertain, keeping market odds tightly clustered near even or low probabilities for any single name.** The recent Alaska Supreme Court ruling allowing the second Dan Sullivan on the ballot has amplified voter-confusion risks in a system where only the top four advance to the ranked-choice general, potentially splitting Republican-leaning votes while Peltola benefits from statewide name recognition after her prior wins. Incumbent Sullivan holds structural advantages in fundraising and party infrastructure, yet recent general-election polling shows Peltola competitive or ahead, underscoring the open primary’s volatility. Minor candidates face steep barriers from low visibility and limited resources. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation: no candidate has consolidated broad support weeks out, and outcomes hinge on turnout, name-recognition effects, and any late endorsements or spending surges that could separate frontrunners before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Volume
$15,493
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. **In Alaska’s August 18, 2026 nonpartisan top-four primary, a crowded field of roughly 15–20 candidates—including incumbent Sen. Dan S. Sullivan (R), former Rep. Mary Peltola (D), a second Republican named Dan J. Sullivan, Dustin Darden, and numerous lesser-known contenders—makes the plurality vote leader highly uncertain, keeping market odds tightly clustered near even or low probabilities for any single name.** The recent Alaska Supreme Court ruling allowing the second Dan Sullivan on the ballot has amplified voter-confusion risks in a system where only the top four advance to the ranked-choice general, potentially splitting Republican-leaning votes while Peltola benefits from statewide name recognition after her prior wins. Incumbent Sullivan holds structural advantages in fundraising and party infrastructure, yet recent general-election polling shows Peltola competitive or ahead, underscoring the open primary’s volatility. Minor candidates face steep barriers from low visibility and limited resources. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation: no candidate has consolidated broad support weeks out, and outcomes hinge on turnout, name-recognition effects, and any late endorsements or spending surges that could separate frontrunners before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Volume
$15,493
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jul 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Votar no vencedor na rodada final das primárias do Senado do Alasca?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mary Peltola" at 64%, followed by "Sen. Dan S. Sullivan" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Votar no vencedor na rodada final das primárias do Senado do Alasca?" has generated $15.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Votar no vencedor na rodada final das primárias do Senado do Alasca?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Votar no vencedor na rodada final das primárias do Senado do Alasca?" is "Mary Peltola" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sen. Dan S. Sullivan" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Votar no vencedor na rodada final das primárias do Senado do Alasca?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.