Recent National Weather Service and model guidance shows San Francisco under persistent upper-level troughing, with marine layer stratus and southwest winds of 10-20 mph limiting daytime heating on August 31. Official forecasts converge on highs of 63-66°F, several degrees below the late-August climatological average near 70°F, positioning 64-67°F ranges as the market leaders. This setup follows a cooling trend through the weekend, with ensembles indicating minimal warming potential before the trough shifts. Traders are weighting these official point forecasts and ensemble spreads heavily given the short lead time to resolution on the daily maximum temperature.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em São Francisco em 31 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em São Francisco em 31 de agosto?
66-67°F 43%
64-65°F 26%
20-21°C 16%
62-63°F 10%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
57°F ou menos
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
10%
64-65°F
26%
66-67°F
43%
20-21°C
16%
21-22°C
3%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76°F ou mais
<1%
66-67°F 43%
64-65°F 26%
20-21°C 16%
62-63°F 10%
NOVO
NOVO
31 ago 2026
57°F ou menos
$138 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$139 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
3%
62-63°F
$428 Vol.
10%
64-65°F
$423 Vol.
26%
66-67°F
$234 Vol.
43%
20-21°C
$236 Vol.
16%
21-22°C
$83 Vol.
3%
72-73°F
$15 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
1%
76°F ou mais
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance shows San Francisco under persistent upper-level troughing, with marine layer stratus and southwest winds of 10-20 mph limiting daytime heating on August 31. Official forecasts converge on highs of 63-66°F, several degrees below the late-August climatological average near 70°F, positioning 64-67°F ranges as the market leaders. This setup follows a cooling trend through the weekend, with ensembles indicating minimal warming potential before the trough shifts. Traders are weighting these official point forecasts and ensemble spreads heavily given the short lead time to resolution on the daily maximum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,697Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance shows San Francisco under persistent upper-level troughing, with marine layer stratus and southwest winds of 10-20 mph limiting daytime heating on August 31. Official forecasts converge on highs of 63-66°F, several degrees below the late-August climatological average near 70°F, positioning 64-67°F ranges as the market leaders. This setup follows a cooling trend through the weekend, with ensembles indicating minimal warming potential before the trough shifts. Traders are weighting these official point forecasts and ensemble spreads heavily given the short lead time to resolution on the daily maximum temperature.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,697Data de Término
31 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance shows San Francisco under persistent upper-level troughing, with marine layer stratus and southwest winds of 10-20 mph limiting daytime heating on August 31. Official forecasts converge on highs of 63-66°F, several degrees below the late-August climatological average near 70°F, positioning 64-67°F ranges as the market leaders. This setup follows a cooling trend through the weekend, with ensembles indicating minimal warming potential before the trough shifts. Traders are weighting these official point forecasts and ensemble spreads heavily given the short lead time to resolution on the daily maximum temperature.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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