**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models centers on a high of 80–82°F at LaGuardia Airport on September 5, 2026, positioning the 80–81°F bin as the clear market leader at 66.5% implied probability.** A northerly wind shift following recent warmer, more humid conditions has introduced drier, cooler air, with light north-northwest winds of 5–10 mph and mostly sunny skies limiting afternoon heating. Official NWS point forecasts issued early on the 5th call for 81°F at LaGuardia and Central Park and 82°F at Kennedy, while ensemble guidance clusters in the upper 70s to low 80s. This aligns closely with early-September climatological normals near 80°F and reflects the cooling trend after higher readings the prior day. The secondary 78–79°F (20.5%) and 82–83°F (8.5%) outcomes capture minor model spread on peak mixing and boundary-layer details, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow range. With resolution imminent and stable conditions expected, trader sentiment remains anchored to the official forecast range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Nova York em 5 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Nova York em 5 de setembro?
80-81°F 68%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 6%
76-77°F 5%
$30,449 Vol.
$30,449 Vol.
5 set 2026
69°F ou menos
<1%
21-22°C
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
24%
80-81°F
68%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
2%
30-30,5°C
<1%
88°F ou mais
<1%
80-81°F 68%
78-79°F 24%
82-83°F 6%
76-77°F 5%
$30,449 Vol.
$30,449 Vol.
5 set 2026
69°F ou menos
$1,661 Vol.
<1%
21-22°C
$174 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$638 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$5,753 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$5,326 Vol.
5%
78-79°F
$5,436 Vol.
24%
80-81°F
$4,473 Vol.
68%
82-83°F
$4,048 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$1,472 Vol.
2%
30-30,5°C
$1,369 Vol.
<1%
88°F ou mais
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models centers on a high of 80–82°F at LaGuardia Airport on September 5, 2026, positioning the 80–81°F bin as the clear market leader at 66.5% implied probability.**
A northerly wind shift following recent warmer, more humid conditions has introduced drier, cooler air, with light north-northwest winds of 5–10 mph and mostly sunny skies limiting afternoon heating. Official NWS point forecasts issued early on the 5th call for 81°F at LaGuardia and Central Park and 82°F at Kennedy, while ensemble guidance clusters in the upper 70s to low 80s. This aligns closely with early-September climatological normals near 80°F and reflects the cooling trend after higher readings the prior day.
The secondary 78–79°F (20.5%) and 82–83°F (8.5%) outcomes capture minor model spread on peak mixing and boundary-layer details, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow range. With resolution imminent and stable conditions expected, trader sentiment remains anchored to the official forecast range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Volume
$30,449Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models centers on a high of 80–82°F at LaGuardia Airport on September 5, 2026, positioning the 80–81°F bin as the clear market leader at 66.5% implied probability.**
A northerly wind shift following recent warmer, more humid conditions has introduced drier, cooler air, with light north-northwest winds of 5–10 mph and mostly sunny skies limiting afternoon heating. Official NWS point forecasts issued early on the 5th call for 81°F at LaGuardia and Central Park and 82°F at Kennedy, while ensemble guidance clusters in the upper 70s to low 80s. This aligns closely with early-September climatological normals near 80°F and reflects the cooling trend after higher readings the prior day.
The secondary 78–79°F (20.5%) and 82–83°F (8.5%) outcomes capture minor model spread on peak mixing and boundary-layer details, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow range. With resolution imminent and stable conditions expected, trader sentiment remains anchored to the official forecast range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,449Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and multiple models centers on a high of 80–82°F at LaGuardia Airport on September 5, 2026, positioning the 80–81°F bin as the clear market leader at 66.5% implied probability.** A northerly wind shift following recent warmer, more humid conditions has introduced drier, cooler air, with light north-northwest winds of 5–10 mph and mostly sunny skies limiting afternoon heating. Official NWS point forecasts issued early on the 5th call for 81°F at LaGuardia and Central Park and 82°F at Kennedy, while ensemble guidance clusters in the upper 70s to low 80s. This aligns closely with early-September climatological normals near 80°F and reflects the cooling trend after higher readings the prior day. The secondary 78–79°F (20.5%) and 82–83°F (8.5%) outcomes capture minor model spread on peak mixing and boundary-layer details, while probabilities drop sharply outside this narrow range. With resolution imminent and stable conditions expected, trader sentiment remains anchored to the official forecast range.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions