**Trader consensus heavily favors 33°C as Madrid’s official highest temperature on August 30, 2026, reflecting AEMET forecasts and real-time observations of clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and afternoon readings climbing to 31–33°C across central stations.** Recent conditions feature a modest late-August warm-up following cooler days earlier in the week, with model runs and official guidance converging on a peak near or just above the 30.3°C climatological average but well below the 35.8°C record. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without the extreme advection or subsidence needed for higher values. The slim probability assigned to 34°C accounts for possible microclimate spikes or station-specific readings, while anything above that would require an unforecasted intensification or measurement anomaly. Updated AEMET hourly data and final daily summaries will confirm the exact maximum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Madrid a 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Madrid a 30 de agosto?
33°C 99.1%
34°C 2%
35°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$26,614 Vol.
$26,614 Vol.
30 ago 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
99%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.1%
34°C 2%
35°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
$26,614 Vol.
$26,614 Vol.
30 ago 2026
28°C or below
$1,363 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$292 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$500 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,079 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$7,400 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$6,083 Vol.
99%
34°C
$6,336 Vol.
2%
35°C
$1,815 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$494 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,062 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$191 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 33°C as Madrid’s official highest temperature on August 30, 2026, reflecting AEMET forecasts and real-time observations of clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and afternoon readings climbing to 31–33°C across central stations.**
Recent conditions feature a modest late-August warm-up following cooler days earlier in the week, with model runs and official guidance converging on a peak near or just above the 30.3°C climatological average but well below the 35.8°C record. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without the extreme advection or subsidence needed for higher values.
The slim probability assigned to 34°C accounts for possible microclimate spikes or station-specific readings, while anything above that would require an unforecasted intensification or measurement anomaly. Updated AEMET hourly data and final daily summaries will confirm the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$26,614Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 33°C as Madrid’s official highest temperature on August 30, 2026, reflecting AEMET forecasts and real-time observations of clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and afternoon readings climbing to 31–33°C across central stations.**
Recent conditions feature a modest late-August warm-up following cooler days earlier in the week, with model runs and official guidance converging on a peak near or just above the 30.3°C climatological average but well below the 35.8°C record. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without the extreme advection or subsidence needed for higher values.
The slim probability assigned to 34°C accounts for possible microclimate spikes or station-specific readings, while anything above that would require an unforecasted intensification or measurement anomaly. Updated AEMET hourly data and final daily summaries will confirm the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,614Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 33°C as Madrid’s official highest temperature on August 30, 2026, reflecting AEMET forecasts and real-time observations of clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and afternoon readings climbing to 31–33°C across central stations.** Recent conditions feature a modest late-August warm-up following cooler days earlier in the week, with model runs and official guidance converging on a peak near or just above the 30.3°C climatological average but well below the 35.8°C record. Low humidity and minimal cloud cover support efficient daytime heating without the extreme advection or subsidence needed for higher values. The slim probability assigned to 34°C accounts for possible microclimate spikes or station-specific readings, while anything above that would require an unforecasted intensification or measurement anomaly. Updated AEMET hourly data and final daily summaries will confirm the exact maximum before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions