Recent forecast runs from global models indicate daytime highs in Istanbul stabilizing near 27–29°C on September 5 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation, consistent with typical early-September climatology. These conditions support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud interference or advection of cooler air. Market-implied odds heavily favor 27°C, reflecting trader assessment of official station measurements and model consensus ranges, while the modest probability on 28–29°C accounts for potential afternoon peaks if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated observations and any final model adjustments before resolution will determine whether readings settle at the lower or upper end of the narrow band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 5 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Istambul no dia 5 de setembro?
27°C 76%
28°C 19%
26°C 6%
29°C 2.5%
NOVO
NOVO
5 set 2026
22°C ou menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
76%
28°C
19%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C ou mais
<1%
27°C 76%
28°C 19%
26°C 6%
29°C 2.5%
NOVO
NOVO
5 set 2026
22°C ou menos
$862 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$515 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$268 Vol.
2%
26°C
$2,463 Vol.
6%
27°C
$2,234 Vol.
76%
28°C
$671 Vol.
19%
29°C
$574 Vol.
3%
30°C
$411 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$309 Vol.
<1%
32°C ou mais
$411 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from global models indicate daytime highs in Istanbul stabilizing near 27–29°C on September 5 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation, consistent with typical early-September climatology. These conditions support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud interference or advection of cooler air. Market-implied odds heavily favor 27°C, reflecting trader assessment of official station measurements and model consensus ranges, while the modest probability on 28–29°C accounts for potential afternoon peaks if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated observations and any final model adjustments before resolution will determine whether readings settle at the lower or upper end of the narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$8,857Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from global models indicate daytime highs in Istanbul stabilizing near 27–29°C on September 5 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation, consistent with typical early-September climatology. These conditions support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud interference or advection of cooler air. Market-implied odds heavily favor 27°C, reflecting trader assessment of official station measurements and model consensus ranges, while the modest probability on 28–29°C accounts for potential afternoon peaks if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated observations and any final model adjustments before resolution will determine whether readings settle at the lower or upper end of the narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,857Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from global models indicate daytime highs in Istanbul stabilizing near 27–29°C on September 5 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and negligible precipitation, consistent with typical early-September climatology. These conditions support efficient daytime heating without significant cloud interference or advection of cooler air. Market-implied odds heavily favor 27°C, reflecting trader assessment of official station measurements and model consensus ranges, while the modest probability on 28–29°C accounts for potential afternoon peaks if insolation exceeds expectations. Updated observations and any final model adjustments before resolution will determine whether readings settle at the lower or upper end of the narrow band.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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