National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models indicate sunny conditions with light southerly winds will drive Austin highs near 99°F on August 30, aligning with the market's leading 98-99°F outcome at 64.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical ridging has maintained dry, stable air with minimal cloud cover, while recent cooling from earlier August peaks near 107°F reflects slightly moderated moisture and flow patterns. Heat index values may reach 102°F, but official resolution hinges on verified air temperature maxima from local stations. Minor model spreads allow limited upside to 100-101°F, consistent with the 31% secondary probability, absent any unexpected convective development.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 30 de agosto?
Temperatura mais alta em Austin no dia 30 de agosto?
98-99°F 66%
100-101°F 31%
96-97°F 5%
94-95°F 2%
$12,580 Vol.
$12,580 Vol.
30 ago 2026
89°F ou menos
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
66%
100-101°F
31%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F ou mais
<1%
98-99°F 66%
100-101°F 31%
96-97°F 5%
94-95°F 2%
$12,580 Vol.
$12,580 Vol.
30 ago 2026
89°F ou menos
$250 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$230 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$145 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$359 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$926 Vol.
5%
98-99°F
$7,411 Vol.
66%
100-101°F
$2,225 Vol.
31%
102-103°F
$529 Vol.
1%
104-105°F
$245 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$125 Vol.
<1%
108°F ou mais
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models indicate sunny conditions with light southerly winds will drive Austin highs near 99°F on August 30, aligning with the market's leading 98-99°F outcome at 64.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical ridging has maintained dry, stable air with minimal cloud cover, while recent cooling from earlier August peaks near 107°F reflects slightly moderated moisture and flow patterns. Heat index values may reach 102°F, but official resolution hinges on verified air temperature maxima from local stations. Minor model spreads allow limited upside to 100-101°F, consistent with the 31% secondary probability, absent any unexpected convective development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Volume
$12,580Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models indicate sunny conditions with light southerly winds will drive Austin highs near 99°F on August 30, aligning with the market's leading 98-99°F outcome at 64.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical ridging has maintained dry, stable air with minimal cloud cover, while recent cooling from earlier August peaks near 107°F reflects slightly moderated moisture and flow patterns. Heat index values may reach 102°F, but official resolution hinges on verified air temperature maxima from local stations. Minor model spreads allow limited upside to 100-101°F, consistent with the 31% secondary probability, absent any unexpected convective development.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,580Data de Término
30 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and supporting models indicate sunny conditions with light southerly winds will drive Austin highs near 99°F on August 30, aligning with the market's leading 98-99°F outcome at 64.5% implied probability. Persistent subtropical ridging has maintained dry, stable air with minimal cloud cover, while recent cooling from earlier August peaks near 107°F reflects slightly moderated moisture and flow patterns. Heat index values may reach 102°F, but official resolution hinges on verified air temperature maxima from local stations. Minor model spreads allow limited upside to 100-101°F, consistent with the 31% secondary probability, absent any unexpected convective development.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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