Flavio Bolsonaro's official announcement on August 5, 2026, naming Liberal Party federal deputy Alfredo Gaspar of Alagoas as his vice-presidential running mate has driven near-certain trader consensus on the outcome ahead of Brazil's October presidential election. The selection, following weeks of internal party discussions and consideration of other figures to broaden regional or demographic appeal, aligns with the Liberal Party's convention timeline and provides a congressional ally from the northeast. Other names, including family members and party figures, register minimal implied probability. Late shifts remain possible only in the event of formal withdrawal, party convention reversal, or unforeseen eligibility issues before ballot finalization.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAlfredo Gaspar 98.3%
Michelle Bolsonaro <1%
Simone Marquetto <1%
Júlia Zanatta <1%
$23,817 Vol.
$23,817 Vol.
Alfredo Gaspar
98%
Michelle Bolsonaro
1%
Simone Marquetto
<1%
Júlia Zanatta
<1%
Marcos Pontes
<1%
Clarissa Tércio
<1%
Priscila Costa
<1%
Daniella Marques
<1%
Gilson Machado
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Damares Alves
<1%
Renata Abreu
<1%
Bia Kicis
<1%
Rosana Valle
<1%
Rogério Marinho
<1%
Alfredo Gaspar 98.3%
Michelle Bolsonaro <1%
Simone Marquetto <1%
Júlia Zanatta <1%
$23,817 Vol.
$23,817 Vol.
Alfredo Gaspar
98%
Michelle Bolsonaro
1%
Simone Marquetto
<1%
Júlia Zanatta
<1%
Marcos Pontes
<1%
Clarissa Tércio
<1%
Priscila Costa
<1%
Daniella Marques
<1%
Gilson Machado
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Damares Alves
<1%
Renata Abreu
<1%
Bia Kicis
<1%
Rosana Valle
<1%
Rogério Marinho
<1%
An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Flavio Bolsonaro's official announcement on August 5, 2026, naming Liberal Party federal deputy Alfredo Gaspar of Alagoas as his vice-presidential running mate has driven near-certain trader consensus on the outcome ahead of Brazil's October presidential election. The selection, following weeks of internal party discussions and consideration of other figures to broaden regional or demographic appeal, aligns with the Liberal Party's convention timeline and provides a congressional ally from the northeast. Other names, including family members and party figures, register minimal implied probability. Late shifts remain possible only in the event of formal withdrawal, party convention reversal, or unforeseen eligibility issues before ballot finalization.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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