**Recent posting patterns on X strongly shape trader sentiment around Elon Musk's September 3–5 output.** Trackers show Musk averaging roughly 20–30 posts per day in late August 2026, including a modest 25 posts across August 29–31 and similar subdued volume in the preceding week. This steady but not explosive pace—far below his election-era peaks of 100+ daily—anchors the market-implied odds, with the 40–64 range leading at 47.5% and 65–89 at 24.5%. Absent major company announcements, political developments, or platform events in early September to trigger a surge, traders view sustained moderate activity as the baseline. The sub-40 bucket at 19.5% reflects the chance of an unusually quiet stretch, while higher brackets remain long shots given current momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado40-64 48%
65-89 26%
<40 20%
90-114 7%
NOVO
NOVO
5 set 2026
<40
20%
40-64
48%
65-89
26%
90-114
7%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 48%
65-89 26%
<40 20%
90-114 7%
NOVO
NOVO
5 set 2026
<40
$171 Vol.
20%
40-64
$54 Vol.
48%
65-89
$103 Vol.
26%
90-114
$141 Vol.
7%
115-139
$284 Vol.
2%
140-164
$13 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$106 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$13 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$13 Vol.
<1%
240+
$70 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 3 12:00 PM ET to September 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Recent posting patterns on X strongly shape trader sentiment around Elon Musk's September 3–5 output.** Trackers show Musk averaging roughly 20–30 posts per day in late August 2026, including a modest 25 posts across August 29–31 and similar subdued volume in the preceding week. This steady but not explosive pace—far below his election-era peaks of 100+ daily—anchors the market-implied odds, with the 40–64 range leading at 47.5% and 65–89 at 24.5%. Absent major company announcements, political developments, or platform events in early September to trigger a surge, traders view sustained moderate activity as the baseline. The sub-40 bucket at 19.5% reflects the chance of an unusually quiet stretch, while higher brackets remain long shots given current momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 3 12:00 PM ET to September 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$968Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 3 12:00 PM ET to September 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Recent posting patterns on X strongly shape trader sentiment around Elon Musk's September 3–5 output.** Trackers show Musk averaging roughly 20–30 posts per day in late August 2026, including a modest 25 posts across August 29–31 and similar subdued volume in the preceding week. This steady but not explosive pace—far below his election-era peaks of 100+ daily—anchors the market-implied odds, with the 40–64 range leading at 47.5% and 65–89 at 24.5%. Absent major company announcements, political developments, or platform events in early September to trigger a surge, traders view sustained moderate activity as the baseline. The sub-40 bucket at 19.5% reflects the chance of an unusually quiet stretch, while higher brackets remain long shots given current momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 3 12:00 PM ET to September 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$968Data de Término
5 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent posting patterns on X strongly shape trader sentiment around Elon Musk's September 3–5 output.** Trackers show Musk averaging roughly 20–30 posts per day in late August 2026, including a modest 25 posts across August 29–31 and similar subdued volume in the preceding week. This steady but not explosive pace—far below his election-era peaks of 100+ daily—anchors the market-implied odds, with the 40–64 range leading at 47.5% and 65–89 at 24.5%. Absent major company announcements, political developments, or platform events in early September to trigger a surge, traders view sustained moderate activity as the baseline. The sub-40 bucket at 19.5% reflects the chance of an unusually quiet stretch, while higher brackets remain long shots given current momentum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions