Trader consensus clusters around 160-219 tweets for Elon Musk in the September 1-8 window, with the top three bins nearly tied as markets price in his established pattern of 25-30 daily posts. Recent activity shows volume fluctuating with Tesla earnings cycles, SpaceX milestones, and real-time X platform commentary, while quieter stretches occur when he prioritizes operational updates over rapid-fire replies. Key swing factors include any Labor Day statements or early-September product teases that could lift totals into the 220s or cap them below 180, underscoring how external news flow and engagement incentives shape week-to-week output in this high-variability celebrity market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado180-199 17%
200-219 16%
160-179 15%
220-239 14%
NOVO
$72,172 Vol.
NOVO
$72,172 Vol.
8 set 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
2%
120-139
4%
140-159
12%
160-179
15%
180-199
17%
200-219
16%
220-239
14%
240-259
9%
260-279
6%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 17%
200-219 16%
160-179 15%
220-239 14%
NOVO
$72,172 Vol.
NOVO
$72,172 Vol.
8 set 2026
<20
$207 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$212 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$257 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$6,438 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$6,701 Vol.
1%
100-119
$647 Vol.
2%
120-139
$401 Vol.
4%
140-159
$537 Vol.
12%
160-179
$493 Vol.
15%
180-199
$4,592 Vol.
17%
200-219
$365 Vol.
16%
220-239
$344 Vol.
14%
240-259
$470 Vol.
9%
260-279
$439 Vol.
6%
280-299
$826 Vol.
3%
300-319
$455 Vol.
2%
320-339
$2,084 Vol.
1%
340-359
$2,359 Vol.
1%
360-379
$5,649 Vol.
1%
380-399
$6,067 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$6,587 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$1,020 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$5,394 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$5,402 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$5,402 Vol.
<1%
500+
$8,824 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus clusters around 160-219 tweets for Elon Musk in the September 1-8 window, with the top three bins nearly tied as markets price in his established pattern of 25-30 daily posts. Recent activity shows volume fluctuating with Tesla earnings cycles, SpaceX milestones, and real-time X platform commentary, while quieter stretches occur when he prioritizes operational updates over rapid-fire replies. Key swing factors include any Labor Day statements or early-September product teases that could lift totals into the 220s or cap them below 180, underscoring how external news flow and engagement incentives shape week-to-week output in this high-variability celebrity market.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$72,172Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus clusters around 160-219 tweets for Elon Musk in the September 1-8 window, with the top three bins nearly tied as markets price in his established pattern of 25-30 daily posts. Recent activity shows volume fluctuating with Tesla earnings cycles, SpaceX milestones, and real-time X platform commentary, while quieter stretches occur when he prioritizes operational updates over rapid-fire replies. Key swing factors include any Labor Day statements or early-September product teases that could lift totals into the 220s or cap them below 180, underscoring how external news flow and engagement incentives shape week-to-week output in this high-variability celebrity market.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$72,172Data de Término
8 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 160-219 tweets for Elon Musk in the September 1-8 window, with the top three bins nearly tied as markets price in his established pattern of 25-30 daily posts. Recent activity shows volume fluctuating with Tesla earnings cycles, SpaceX milestones, and real-time X platform commentary, while quieter stretches occur when he prioritizes operational updates over rapid-fire replies. Key swing factors include any Labor Day statements or early-September product teases that could lift totals into the 220s or cap them below 180, underscoring how external news flow and engagement incentives shape week-to-week output in this high-variability celebrity market.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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