Recent weekly tweet totals for Elon Musk have fluctuated sharply between roughly 100 and 250 posts, producing a broad distribution of market-implied odds centered on the 220–259 range. Recent trackers show daily averages near 30–40 posts on active weeks, tempered by lower weekend volume and quiet stretches below 150 total. With no major product launches, regulatory events, or high-profile controversies confirmed for the August 25–September 1 window, traders appear to price in baseline activity levels while allowing room for news-driven spikes. The tight spread across 180–279 brackets reflects this uncertainty, as even modest shifts in engagement or breaking developments could push the final count outside the current consensus bands.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado220-239 14%
240-259 13%
180-199 12%
200-219 12%
NOVO
$17,116 Vol.
NOVO
$17,116 Vol.
1 set 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
5%
160-179
8%
180-199
12%
200-219
12%
220-239
14%
240-259
13%
260-279
11%
280-299
7%
300-319
5%
320-339
3%
340-359
2%
360-379
2%
380-399
2%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500+
1%
220-239 14%
240-259 13%
180-199 12%
200-219 12%
NOVO
$17,116 Vol.
NOVO
$17,116 Vol.
1 set 2026
<20
$1,571 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$1,571 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$571 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$3,576 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$441 Vol.
1%
100-119
$437 Vol.
1%
120-139
$284 Vol.
3%
140-159
$265 Vol.
5%
160-179
$531 Vol.
8%
180-199
$88 Vol.
12%
200-219
$469 Vol.
12%
220-239
$816 Vol.
14%
240-259
$1,116 Vol.
13%
260-279
$612 Vol.
11%
280-299
$167 Vol.
7%
300-319
$75 Vol.
5%
320-339
$92 Vol.
3%
340-359
$243 Vol.
2%
360-379
$416 Vol.
2%
380-399
$741 Vol.
2%
400-419
$673 Vol.
2%
420-439
$792 Vol.
1%
440-459
$251 Vol.
1%
460-479
$244 Vol.
1%
480-499
$373 Vol.
1%
500+
$700 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent weekly tweet totals for Elon Musk have fluctuated sharply between roughly 100 and 250 posts, producing a broad distribution of market-implied odds centered on the 220–259 range. Recent trackers show daily averages near 30–40 posts on active weeks, tempered by lower weekend volume and quiet stretches below 150 total. With no major product launches, regulatory events, or high-profile controversies confirmed for the August 25–September 1 window, traders appear to price in baseline activity levels while allowing room for news-driven spikes. The tight spread across 180–279 brackets reflects this uncertainty, as even modest shifts in engagement or breaking developments could push the final count outside the current consensus bands.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$17,116Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent weekly tweet totals for Elon Musk have fluctuated sharply between roughly 100 and 250 posts, producing a broad distribution of market-implied odds centered on the 220–259 range. Recent trackers show daily averages near 30–40 posts on active weeks, tempered by lower weekend volume and quiet stretches below 150 total. With no major product launches, regulatory events, or high-profile controversies confirmed for the August 25–September 1 window, traders appear to price in baseline activity levels while allowing room for news-driven spikes. The tight spread across 180–279 brackets reflects this uncertainty, as even modest shifts in engagement or breaking developments could push the final count outside the current consensus bands.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$17,116Data de Término
1 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weekly tweet totals for Elon Musk have fluctuated sharply between roughly 100 and 250 posts, producing a broad distribution of market-implied odds centered on the 220–259 range. Recent trackers show daily averages near 30–40 posts on active weeks, tempered by lower weekend volume and quiet stretches below 150 total. With no major product launches, regulatory events, or high-profile controversies confirmed for the August 25–September 1 window, traders appear to price in baseline activity levels while allowing room for news-driven spikes. The tight spread across 180–279 brackets reflects this uncertainty, as even modest shifts in engagement or breaking developments could push the final count outside the current consensus bands.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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