Trader consensus in the Elon Musk tweet count market centers on moderate weekend activity, with 40-64 posts holding the strongest implied probability at 51.5% amid consistent engagement across SpaceX Starship progress, Tesla FSD promotions, and political commentary. Recent posts on August 22 highlight Starship static fire results, self-driving tech enthusiasm, and voter ID debates, sustaining his typical output pace without major announcements or controversies to accelerate volume. Historical patterns for three-day spans show this range aligns with steady platform interaction rather than peak campaign periods, while lower bins gain traction if engagement dips ahead of the August 24 close. Upcoming chart or news cycles could shift momentum, but current verified activity supports the mid-range frontrunner.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado40-64 52%
<40 29%
65-89 18%
90-114 2.4%
$205,584 Vol.
$205,584 Vol.
24 ago 2026
<40
29%
40-64
52%
65-89
18%
90-114
2%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 52%
<40 29%
65-89 18%
90-114 2.4%
$205,584 Vol.
$205,584 Vol.
24 ago 2026
<40
$29,882 Vol.
29%
40-64
$23,255 Vol.
52%
65-89
$17,002 Vol.
18%
90-114
$28,956 Vol.
2%
115-139
$40,045 Vol.
1%
140-164
$16,128 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$23,299 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$14,520 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$8,044 Vol.
<1%
240+
$4,452 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus in the Elon Musk tweet count market centers on moderate weekend activity, with 40-64 posts holding the strongest implied probability at 51.5% amid consistent engagement across SpaceX Starship progress, Tesla FSD promotions, and political commentary. Recent posts on August 22 highlight Starship static fire results, self-driving tech enthusiasm, and voter ID debates, sustaining his typical output pace without major announcements or controversies to accelerate volume. Historical patterns for three-day spans show this range aligns with steady platform interaction rather than peak campaign periods, while lower bins gain traction if engagement dips ahead of the August 24 close. Upcoming chart or news cycles could shift momentum, but current verified activity supports the mid-range frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$205,584Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus in the Elon Musk tweet count market centers on moderate weekend activity, with 40-64 posts holding the strongest implied probability at 51.5% amid consistent engagement across SpaceX Starship progress, Tesla FSD promotions, and political commentary. Recent posts on August 22 highlight Starship static fire results, self-driving tech enthusiasm, and voter ID debates, sustaining his typical output pace without major announcements or controversies to accelerate volume. Historical patterns for three-day spans show this range aligns with steady platform interaction rather than peak campaign periods, while lower bins gain traction if engagement dips ahead of the August 24 close. Upcoming chart or news cycles could shift momentum, but current verified activity supports the mid-range frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 22 12:00 PM ET to August 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.poly.havingsomuch.fun. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$205,584Data de Término
24 ago 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:07 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Elon Musk tweet count market centers on moderate weekend activity, with 40-64 posts holding the strongest implied probability at 51.5% amid consistent engagement across SpaceX Starship progress, Tesla FSD promotions, and political commentary. Recent posts on August 22 highlight Starship static fire results, self-driving tech enthusiasm, and voter ID debates, sustaining his typical output pace without major announcements or controversies to accelerate volume. Historical patterns for three-day spans show this range aligns with steady platform interaction rather than peak campaign periods, while lower bins gain traction if engagement dips ahead of the August 24 close. Upcoming chart or news cycles could shift momentum, but current verified activity supports the mid-range frontrunner.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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