Recent insider comments have propelled Jack Lowden to the top of trader consensus at 37.9% implied probability for the next James Bond. Podcast host Richard Osman highlighted him in August as “strongly considered,” while his Slow Horses co-star Gary Oldman suggested in early September that the role has already been cast and expressed personal hopes for Lowden, citing his spy-series experience and Scottish background. Callum Turner, previously favored, has slipped amid shifting chatter, with the rest of the field fragmented among actors like Jack Barton and Harris Dickinson. The 18.3% market share for “no Bond chosen” reflects the lack of official confirmation from Amazon MGM or director Denis Villeneuve ahead of an expected announcement by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPróximo ator de James Bond?
Próximo ator de James Bond?
Jack Lowden 37.9%
Nenhum Bond escolhido 18.3%
Jack Barton 11.7%
Callum Turner 10.5%
$783,787 Vol.
$783,787 Vol.
Jack Lowden
38%
Nenhum Bond escolhido
18%
Jack Barton
12%
Callum Turner
11%
Jack O'Connell
4%
Tom Francis
3%
Harris Dickinson
3%
Richard Madden
2%
Jacob Elordi
2%
Josh O'Connor
1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%
Timothee Chalamet
1%
Jonathan Bailey
1%
Theo James
1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
Tom Hardy
<1%
Tom Blyth
<1%
James Norton
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Michael B Jordan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
Jack Lowden 37.9%
Nenhum Bond escolhido 18.3%
Jack Barton 11.7%
Callum Turner 10.5%
$783,787 Vol.
$783,787 Vol.
Jack Lowden
38%
Nenhum Bond escolhido
18%
Jack Barton
12%
Callum Turner
11%
Jack O'Connell
4%
Tom Francis
3%
Harris Dickinson
3%
Richard Madden
2%
Jacob Elordi
2%
Josh O'Connor
1%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%
Timothee Chalamet
1%
Jonathan Bailey
1%
Theo James
1%
Henry Cavill
<1%
Tom Hardy
<1%
Tom Blyth
<1%
James Norton
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Michael B Jordan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent insider comments have propelled Jack Lowden to the top of trader consensus at 37.9% implied probability for the next James Bond. Podcast host Richard Osman highlighted him in August as “strongly considered,” while his Slow Horses co-star Gary Oldman suggested in early September that the role has already been cast and expressed personal hopes for Lowden, citing his spy-series experience and Scottish background. Callum Turner, previously favored, has slipped amid shifting chatter, with the rest of the field fragmented among actors like Jack Barton and Harris Dickinson. The 18.3% market share for “no Bond chosen” reflects the lack of official confirmation from Amazon MGM or director Denis Villeneuve ahead of an expected announcement by year-end.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions