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Política·Eleições Globais

Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Quebec de Hochelaga-Maisonneuve

icon for Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Quebec de Hochelaga-Maisonneuve
Política·Eleições Globais

Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Quebec de Hochelaga-Maisonneuve

Maude Brossard-Sabourin 95%

Alexandre Leduc 43%

Béatrice Hodonou 25%

Elena Penta 25%

Polymarket
NOVO

Maude Brossard-Sabourin 95%

Alexandre Leduc 43%

Béatrice Hodonou 25%

Elena Penta 25%

Polymarket
NOVO
icon for Maude Brossard-Sabourin

Maude Brossard-Sabourin

$0 Vol.

95%

icon for Alexandre Leduc

Alexandre Leduc

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Béatrice Hodonou

Béatrice Hodonou

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Elena Penta

Elena Penta

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Janny Gaspard

Janny Gaspard

$0 Vol.

24%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Hochelaga-Maisonneuve riding features a crowded field ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with trader prices clustering tightly around 50% for most named contenders and slightly lower for Maude Brossard-Sabourin and several others. The incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Alexandre Leduc faces Parti Québécois candidate Maude Brossard-Sabourin, Liberal Janny Gaspard, CAQ's Béatrice Hodonou, and Conservative Elena Penta, plus additional independents and minor-party entrants. Recent candidate announcements, the late-August writ drop, and the riding's history of strong left-leaning support in east Montreal have kept probabilities compressed as traders weigh local turnout patterns, vote splitting among progressive options, and broader provincial momentum shifts. Developments such as party leader visits, affordability-focused campaign messaging, or late polling swings in the Montreal region could quickly widen gaps before nomination deadlines close on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Hochelaga-Maisonneuve riding features a crowded field ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with trader prices clustering tightly around 50% for most named contenders and slightly lower for Maude Brossard-Sabourin and several others. The incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Alexandre Leduc faces Parti Québécois candidate Maude Brossard-Sabourin, Liberal Janny Gaspard, CAQ's Béatrice Hodonou, and Conservative Elena Penta, plus additional independents and minor-party entrants. Recent candidate announcements, the late-August writ drop, and the riding's history of strong left-leaning support in east Montreal have kept probabilities compressed as traders weigh local turnout patterns, vote splitting among progressive options, and broader provincial momentum shifts. Developments such as party leader visits, affordability-focused campaign messaging, or late polling swings in the Montreal region could quickly widen gaps before nomination deadlines close on September 17.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0
Data de Término
5 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Fonte de resolução

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Quebec de Hochelaga-Maisonneuve" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Maude Brossard-Sabourin" at 48%, followed by "Alexandre Leduc" at 43%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 48¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Quebec de Hochelaga-Maisonneuve" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Quebec de Hochelaga-Maisonneuve," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Quebec de Hochelaga-Maisonneuve" is "Maude Brossard-Sabourin" at 48%, meaning the market assigns a 48% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandre Leduc" at 43%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor das eleições para a Assembleia Nacional de Quebec de Hochelaga-Maisonneuve" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.