The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve stands at roughly 287 million barrels as of early September 2026—about 40% of its 714-million-barrel capacity and near a 44-year low—after repeated releases tied to global supply shocks, including the Iran conflict. Late-August announcements of a US-backed deal securing majority control over 65 billion barrels of Venezuelan proven reserves, representing roughly one-fifth of Caracas’s total, have shifted trader focus toward potential inflows. Energy Secretary Chris Wright indicated in early September that heavy, high-sulfur Venezuelan grades would likely enter via swaps for lighter domestic crude rather than direct storage, with White House comments pointing to possible reserve deliveries as soon as November. Venezuela’s current output of about 1.25 million barrels per day, with over 500,000 barrels daily already reaching US Gulf refineries, faces multi-year ramp-up hurdles from infrastructure and investment needs. These dynamics frame market-implied odds around near-term addition as dependent on swap execution and production timelines amid ongoing monetary policy and geopolitical volatility.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNOWE
Dec 31, 2026
September 30
3%
December 31
15%
$1,910 Wol.
September 30
$856 Wol.
3%
December 31
$1,053 Wol.
15%
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve stands at roughly 287 million barrels as of early September 2026—about 40% of its 714-million-barrel capacity and near a 44-year low—after repeated releases tied to global supply shocks, including the Iran conflict. Late-August announcements of a US-backed deal securing majority control over 65 billion barrels of Venezuelan proven reserves, representing roughly one-fifth of Caracas’s total, have shifted trader focus toward potential inflows. Energy Secretary Chris Wright indicated in early September that heavy, high-sulfur Venezuelan grades would likely enter via swaps for lighter domestic crude rather than direct storage, with White House comments pointing to possible reserve deliveries as soon as November. Venezuela’s current output of about 1.25 million barrels per day, with over 500,000 barrels daily already reaching US Gulf refineries, faces multi-year ramp-up hurdles from infrastructure and investment needs. These dynamics frame market-implied odds around near-term addition as dependent on swap execution and production timelines amid ongoing monetary policy and geopolitical volatility.
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,910Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve stands at roughly 287 million barrels as of early September 2026—about 40% of its 714-million-barrel capacity and near a 44-year low—after repeated releases tied to global supply shocks, including the Iran conflict. Late-August announcements of a US-backed deal securing majority control over 65 billion barrels of Venezuelan proven reserves, representing roughly one-fifth of Caracas’s total, have shifted trader focus toward potential inflows. Energy Secretary Chris Wright indicated in early September that heavy, high-sulfur Venezuelan grades would likely enter via swaps for lighter domestic crude rather than direct storage, with White House comments pointing to possible reserve deliveries as soon as November. Venezuela’s current output of about 1.25 million barrels per day, with over 500,000 barrels daily already reaching US Gulf refineries, faces multi-year ramp-up hurdles from infrastructure and investment needs. These dynamics frame market-implied odds around near-term addition as dependent on swap execution and production timelines amid ongoing monetary policy and geopolitical volatility.
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$1,910Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve stands at roughly 287 million barrels as of early September 2026—about 40% of its 714-million-barrel capacity and near a 44-year low—after repeated releases tied to global supply shocks, including the Iran conflict. Late-August announcements of a US-backed deal securing majority control over 65 billion barrels of Venezuelan proven reserves, representing roughly one-fifth of Caracas’s total, have shifted trader focus toward potential inflows. Energy Secretary Chris Wright indicated in early September that heavy, high-sulfur Venezuelan grades would likely enter via swaps for lighter domestic crude rather than direct storage, with White House comments pointing to possible reserve deliveries as soon as November. Venezuela’s current output of about 1.25 million barrels per day, with over 500,000 barrels daily already reaching US Gulf refineries, faces multi-year ramp-up hurdles from infrastructure and investment needs. These dynamics frame market-implied odds around near-term addition as dependent on swap execution and production timelines amid ongoing monetary policy and geopolitical volatility.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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