Recent polls place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party at roughly 22–24 Knesset seats, keeping the distribution of possible outcomes tightly clustered as traders weigh competing surveys showing it ahead of or level with Likud. Fragmentation among centrist and right-wing lists, including the Bennett-Lapid Together alliance and Ofer Winter’s new Amcha Yisrael party, has split voter blocs and introduced uncertainty about turnout and threshold crossings. Candidate-list deadlines in early September and the October 27 election date leave limited time for mergers or major shifts in positioning. Bloc arithmetic for coalition formation, security-focused messaging, and any late polling swings on national-service or inquiry issues remain the main variables that could separate the leading seat ranges in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIsrael Election: Yashar # of seats?
Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?
30+ 36%
<20 35%
20-21 33%
26-27 32%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<20
35%
20-21
33%
22-23
30%
24-25
29%
26-27
32%
28-29
31%
30+
36%
30+ 36%
<20 35%
20-21 33%
26-27 32%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<20
$0 Wol.
35%
20-21
$0 Wol.
33%
22-23
$0 Wol.
30%
24-25
$0 Wol.
29%
26-27
$0 Wol.
32%
28-29
$0 Wol.
31%
30+
$0 Wol.
36%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party at roughly 22–24 Knesset seats, keeping the distribution of possible outcomes tightly clustered as traders weigh competing surveys showing it ahead of or level with Likud. Fragmentation among centrist and right-wing lists, including the Bennett-Lapid Together alliance and Ofer Winter’s new Amcha Yisrael party, has split voter blocs and introduced uncertainty about turnout and threshold crossings. Candidate-list deadlines in early September and the October 27 election date leave limited time for mergers or major shifts in positioning. Bloc arithmetic for coalition formation, security-focused messaging, and any late polling swings on national-service or inquiry issues remain the main variables that could separate the leading seat ranges in the final weeks.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Nov 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party at roughly 22–24 Knesset seats, keeping the distribution of possible outcomes tightly clustered as traders weigh competing surveys showing it ahead of or level with Likud. Fragmentation among centrist and right-wing lists, including the Bennett-Lapid Together alliance and Ofer Winter’s new Amcha Yisrael party, has split voter blocs and introduced uncertainty about turnout and threshold crossings. Candidate-list deadlines in early September and the October 27 election date leave limited time for mergers or major shifts in positioning. Bloc arithmetic for coalition formation, security-focused messaging, and any late polling swings on national-service or inquiry issues remain the main variables that could separate the leading seat ranges in the final weeks.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Nov 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party at roughly 22–24 Knesset seats, keeping the distribution of possible outcomes tightly clustered as traders weigh competing surveys showing it ahead of or level with Likud. Fragmentation among centrist and right-wing lists, including the Bennett-Lapid Together alliance and Ofer Winter’s new Amcha Yisrael party, has split voter blocs and introduced uncertainty about turnout and threshold crossings. Candidate-list deadlines in early September and the October 27 election date leave limited time for mergers or major shifts in positioning. Bloc arithmetic for coalition formation, security-focused messaging, and any late polling swings on national-service or inquiry issues remain the main variables that could separate the leading seat ranges in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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