Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, projected at 6-9 seats amid a fragmented right-wing bloc that trails the opposition. Trader consensus remains closely split between 8-9 and 10+ seats because the party continues to court disappointed Likud and Shas voters while new entrants like Ofer Winter's People of Israel party draw from the same electorate. Refusal to merge with Religious Zionism and the addition of Tally Gotliv as the number-two candidate have sharpened its distinct appeal without yet lifting overall support. Late shifts in right-wing turnout, final list submissions by the September 8 deadline, or security developments could widen the gap between the leading seat ranges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIsrael Election: Otzma # of seats?
Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?
8-9 40%
10+ 39%
4-5 35%
6-7 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<4
30%
4-5
35%
6-7
31%
8-9
40%
10+
39%
8-9 40%
10+ 39%
4-5 35%
6-7 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 30, 2026
<4
$0 Wol.
30%
4-5
$0 Wol.
35%
6-7
$0 Wol.
31%
8-9
$0 Wol.
40%
10+
$0 Wol.
39%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, projected at 6-9 seats amid a fragmented right-wing bloc that trails the opposition. Trader consensus remains closely split between 8-9 and 10+ seats because the party continues to court disappointed Likud and Shas voters while new entrants like Ofer Winter's People of Israel party draw from the same electorate. Refusal to merge with Religious Zionism and the addition of Tally Gotliv as the number-two candidate have sharpened its distinct appeal without yet lifting overall support. Late shifts in right-wing turnout, final list submissions by the September 8 deadline, or security developments could widen the gap between the leading seat ranges.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, projected at 6-9 seats amid a fragmented right-wing bloc that trails the opposition. Trader consensus remains closely split between 8-9 and 10+ seats because the party continues to court disappointed Likud and Shas voters while new entrants like Ofer Winter's People of Israel party draw from the same electorate. Refusal to merge with Religious Zionism and the addition of Tally Gotliv as the number-two candidate have sharpened its distinct appeal without yet lifting overall support. Late shifts in right-wing turnout, final list submissions by the September 8 deadline, or security developments could widen the gap between the leading seat ranges.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Otzma Yehudit contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Otzma Yehudit merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Otzma Yehudit in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Oct 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show Otzma Yehudit, led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, projected at 6-9 seats amid a fragmented right-wing bloc that trails the opposition. Trader consensus remains closely split between 8-9 and 10+ seats because the party continues to court disappointed Likud and Shas voters while new entrants like Ofer Winter's People of Israel party draw from the same electorate. Refusal to merge with Religious Zionism and the addition of Tally Gotliv as the number-two candidate have sharpened its distinct appeal without yet lifting overall support. Late shifts in right-wing turnout, final list submissions by the September 8 deadline, or security developments could widen the gap between the leading seat ranges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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