Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval near 38 percent, with individual surveys ranging from 33 to 39.5 percent in August. Persistent challenges from the ongoing Iran conflict, elevated gas prices, and broader economic discontent have weighed on ratings, particularly among independents and some Republican-leaning groups. These factors have produced a second-term low in multiple trackers and kept weekly figures tightly clustered. With only days remaining before the August 28 measurement, any late polling release, diplomatic development, or economic data release could shift the final reported figure among the closely matched 37–39 percent ranges that currently dominate trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano38.0–38.4 30%
37.5–37.9 25%
38.5–38.9 24%
37.0–37.4 16%
<37.0
7%
37.0–37.4
16%
37.5–37.9
25%
38.0–38.4
30%
38.5–38.9
24%
39.0+
5%
38.0–38.4 30%
37.5–37.9 25%
38.5–38.9 24%
37.0–37.4 16%
<37.0
7%
37.0–37.4
16%
37.5–37.9
25%
38.0–38.4
30%
38.5–38.9
24%
39.0+
5%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval near 38 percent, with individual surveys ranging from 33 to 39.5 percent in August. Persistent challenges from the ongoing Iran conflict, elevated gas prices, and broader economic discontent have weighed on ratings, particularly among independents and some Republican-leaning groups. These factors have produced a second-term low in multiple trackers and kept weekly figures tightly clustered. With only days remaining before the August 28 measurement, any late polling release, diplomatic development, or economic data release could shift the final reported figure among the closely matched 37–39 percent ranges that currently dominate trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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