Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tokyo's overnight low on September 14 will likely fall in the 23–24°C range, supported by southerly winds advecting warm, humid maritime air and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points near 23°C. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes, as higher humidity and cloud cover reduce the potential for sharper drops below 22°C while preventing extremes above 25°C. Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations will resolve the market, with any late adjustments in steering patterns or moisture levels representing the main variables that could shift the final minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 14?
24°C 33%
23°C 29%
25°C 17%
22°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
5%
21°C
9%
22°C
9%
23°C
29%
24°C
33%
25°C
17%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 33%
23°C 29%
25°C 17%
22°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
$925 Wol.
5%
21°C
$357 Wol.
9%
22°C
$210 Wol.
9%
23°C
$774 Wol.
29%
24°C
$1,535 Wol.
33%
25°C
$1,122 Wol.
17%
26°C
$0 Wol.
3%
27°C
$121 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$121 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$44 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$225 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tokyo's overnight low on September 14 will likely fall in the 23–24°C range, supported by southerly winds advecting warm, humid maritime air and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points near 23°C. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes, as higher humidity and cloud cover reduce the potential for sharper drops below 22°C while preventing extremes above 25°C. Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations will resolve the market, with any late adjustments in steering patterns or moisture levels representing the main variables that could shift the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,435Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tokyo's overnight low on September 14 will likely fall in the 23–24°C range, supported by southerly winds advecting warm, humid maritime air and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points near 23°C. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes, as higher humidity and cloud cover reduce the potential for sharper drops below 22°C while preventing extremes above 25°C. Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations will resolve the market, with any late adjustments in steering patterns or moisture levels representing the main variables that could shift the final minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,435Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tokyo's overnight low on September 14 will likely fall in the 23–24°C range, supported by southerly winds advecting warm, humid maritime air and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with dew points near 23°C. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes, as higher humidity and cloud cover reduce the potential for sharper drops below 22°C while preventing extremes above 25°C. Official Japan Meteorological Agency observations will resolve the market, with any late adjustments in steering patterns or moisture levels representing the main variables that could shift the final minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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