Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 23–24°C in Tokyo on August 12, driven by persistent Pacific high pressure, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology, where average lows hover around 24°C amid humid subtropical air masses. The close clustering of implied probabilities around 22–24°C reflects minor uncertainties in shower timing and high-pressure strength, which can shift the minimum by 1°C. Stronger subsidence or clearer skies could favor the upper end of this range, while enhanced moisture would support slightly cooler readings. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these forecasts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 12?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 12?
23°C 46%
22°C 28%
21°C 14%
24°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
14%
22°C
28%
23°C
46%
24°C
11%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 46%
22°C 28%
21°C 14%
24°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
18°C or below
$68 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$90 Wol.
1%
20°C
$93 Wol.
1%
21°C
$241 Wol.
14%
22°C
$214 Wol.
28%
23°C
$285 Wol.
46%
24°C
$360 Wol.
11%
25°C
$67 Wol.
5%
26°C
$80 Wol.
1%
27°C
$68 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$68 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 23–24°C in Tokyo on August 12, driven by persistent Pacific high pressure, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology, where average lows hover around 24°C amid humid subtropical air masses. The close clustering of implied probabilities around 22–24°C reflects minor uncertainties in shower timing and high-pressure strength, which can shift the minimum by 1°C. Stronger subsidence or clearer skies could favor the upper end of this range, while enhanced moisture would support slightly cooler readings. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these forecasts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,633Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 23–24°C in Tokyo on August 12, driven by persistent Pacific high pressure, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology, where average lows hover around 24°C amid humid subtropical air masses. The close clustering of implied probabilities around 22–24°C reflects minor uncertainties in shower timing and high-pressure strength, which can shift the minimum by 1°C. Stronger subsidence or clearer skies could favor the upper end of this range, while enhanced moisture would support slightly cooler readings. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these forecasts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,633Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models indicate overnight lows near 23–24°C in Tokyo on August 12, driven by persistent Pacific high pressure, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology, where average lows hover around 24°C amid humid subtropical air masses. The close clustering of implied probabilities around 22–24°C reflects minor uncertainties in shower timing and high-pressure strength, which can shift the minimum by 1°C. Stronger subsidence or clearer skies could favor the upper end of this range, while enhanced moisture would support slightly cooler readings. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these forecasts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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