**Trader sentiment for Moscow's highest temperature on August 12 reflects short-range forecast consensus around 17–18°C, with those two outcomes nearly tied at roughly 35% each.** Recent model runs indicate a cooler-than-average air mass over the region, driven by increased cloud cover, possible light precipitation, and northerly flow that limits daytime heating compared with typical mid-August conditions (climatological highs near 22–23°C). This setup stems from a mid-level trough and associated frontal activity shifting across western Russia, reducing solar insolation during peak afternoon hours and enhancing evaporative cooling from moist surfaces. The tight spread between 17°C and 18°C arises from minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and local advection; a slightly earlier frontal passage or thicker cloud deck would favor 17°C, while clearer breaks or stronger southerly flow could push toward 19°C. Official short-range guidance from monitoring agencies shows low probability of reaching 20°C or higher given the current synoptic pattern, keeping those outcomes in single digits. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations over the next 24–48 hours will refine the peak value ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Moscow on August 12?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 12?
18°C 37%
17°C 35%
19°C 14%
16°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
8%
17°C
35%
18°C
37%
19°C
14%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 37%
17°C 35%
19°C 14%
16°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
12°C or below
$30 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$330 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$275 Wol.
1%
15°C
$279 Wol.
1%
16°C
$411 Wol.
8%
17°C
$348 Wol.
35%
18°C
$104 Wol.
37%
19°C
$203 Wol.
14%
20°C
$113 Wol.
3%
21°C
$49 Wol.
2%
22°C or higher
$27 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Moscow's highest temperature on August 12 reflects short-range forecast consensus around 17–18°C, with those two outcomes nearly tied at roughly 35% each.** Recent model runs indicate a cooler-than-average air mass over the region, driven by increased cloud cover, possible light precipitation, and northerly flow that limits daytime heating compared with typical mid-August conditions (climatological highs near 22–23°C).
This setup stems from a mid-level trough and associated frontal activity shifting across western Russia, reducing solar insolation during peak afternoon hours and enhancing evaporative cooling from moist surfaces. The tight spread between 17°C and 18°C arises from minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and local advection; a slightly earlier frontal passage or thicker cloud deck would favor 17°C, while clearer breaks or stronger southerly flow could push toward 19°C. Official short-range guidance from monitoring agencies shows low probability of reaching 20°C or higher given the current synoptic pattern, keeping those outcomes in single digits. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations over the next 24–48 hours will refine the peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,168Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Moscow's highest temperature on August 12 reflects short-range forecast consensus around 17–18°C, with those two outcomes nearly tied at roughly 35% each.** Recent model runs indicate a cooler-than-average air mass over the region, driven by increased cloud cover, possible light precipitation, and northerly flow that limits daytime heating compared with typical mid-August conditions (climatological highs near 22–23°C).
This setup stems from a mid-level trough and associated frontal activity shifting across western Russia, reducing solar insolation during peak afternoon hours and enhancing evaporative cooling from moist surfaces. The tight spread between 17°C and 18°C arises from minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and local advection; a slightly earlier frontal passage or thicker cloud deck would favor 17°C, while clearer breaks or stronger southerly flow could push toward 19°C. Official short-range guidance from monitoring agencies shows low probability of reaching 20°C or higher given the current synoptic pattern, keeping those outcomes in single digits. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations over the next 24–48 hours will refine the peak value ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,168Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Moscow's highest temperature on August 12 reflects short-range forecast consensus around 17–18°C, with those two outcomes nearly tied at roughly 35% each.** Recent model runs indicate a cooler-than-average air mass over the region, driven by increased cloud cover, possible light precipitation, and northerly flow that limits daytime heating compared with typical mid-August conditions (climatological highs near 22–23°C). This setup stems from a mid-level trough and associated frontal activity shifting across western Russia, reducing solar insolation during peak afternoon hours and enhancing evaporative cooling from moist surfaces. The tight spread between 17°C and 18°C arises from minor uncertainties in exact cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, and local advection; a slightly earlier frontal passage or thicker cloud deck would favor 17°C, while clearer breaks or stronger southerly flow could push toward 19°C. Official short-range guidance from monitoring agencies shows low probability of reaching 20°C or higher given the current synoptic pattern, keeping those outcomes in single digits. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations over the next 24–48 hours will refine the peak value ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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