Current short-term forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a Qingdao maximum of 29–31°C on August 12, keeping 30°C and 31°C nearly tied in trader pricing. Late-summer maritime conditions over the Yellow Sea promote sea breezes that limit daytime heating while high humidity and scattered thundershowers or cloud cover enhance evaporative cooling, capping peaks near the lower end of the range. Clearer intervals could briefly allow readings toward 31°C, but model consensus favors modest instability preventing warmer outcomes. Updated guidance on precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether the market tilts further toward one threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 12?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 12?
30°C 35%
31°C 30%
29°C 18%
32°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
18%
30°C
35%
31°C
30%
32°C
15%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
31°C 30%
29°C 18%
32°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
25°C or below
$402 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$38 Wol.
1%
27°C
$15 Wol.
2%
28°C
$347 Wol.
6%
29°C
$187 Wol.
18%
30°C
$1,539 Wol.
35%
31°C
$263 Wol.
30%
32°C
$183 Wol.
15%
33°C
$139 Wol.
4%
34°C
$172 Wol.
2%
35°C or higher
$85 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a Qingdao maximum of 29–31°C on August 12, keeping 30°C and 31°C nearly tied in trader pricing. Late-summer maritime conditions over the Yellow Sea promote sea breezes that limit daytime heating while high humidity and scattered thundershowers or cloud cover enhance evaporative cooling, capping peaks near the lower end of the range. Clearer intervals could briefly allow readings toward 31°C, but model consensus favors modest instability preventing warmer outcomes. Updated guidance on precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether the market tilts further toward one threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,371Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a Qingdao maximum of 29–31°C on August 12, keeping 30°C and 31°C nearly tied in trader pricing. Late-summer maritime conditions over the Yellow Sea promote sea breezes that limit daytime heating while high humidity and scattered thundershowers or cloud cover enhance evaporative cooling, capping peaks near the lower end of the range. Clearer intervals could briefly allow readings toward 31°C, but model consensus favors modest instability preventing warmer outcomes. Updated guidance on precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether the market tilts further toward one threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,371Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to a Qingdao maximum of 29–31°C on August 12, keeping 30°C and 31°C nearly tied in trader pricing. Late-summer maritime conditions over the Yellow Sea promote sea breezes that limit daytime heating while high humidity and scattered thundershowers or cloud cover enhance evaporative cooling, capping peaks near the lower end of the range. Clearer intervals could briefly allow readings toward 31°C, but model consensus favors modest instability preventing warmer outcomes. Updated guidance on precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture over the next 48 hours will likely determine whether the market tilts further toward one threshold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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