Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 12 point to overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and gusty winds tied to a passing tropical system or enhanced monsoon flow, which are moderating peak heating and positioning 28–30°C as the most probable range for the daily high. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation while evaporative cooling from rainfall further caps temperatures, consistent with model runs showing highs near 29°C under 70–90% cloud fractions. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (48%) and nearby outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration showing reduced insolation relative to typical August baselines of 31–32°C. Updated model consensus and any shifts in storm track or timing remain key variables that could nudge probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 12?
29°C 48%
28°C 27%
30°C 20%
27°C 5%
NOWE
$10,668 Wol.
NOWE
$10,668 Wol.
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
27%
29°C
48%
30°C
20%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 48%
28°C 27%
30°C 20%
27°C 5%
NOWE
$10,668 Wol.
NOWE
$10,668 Wol.
Aug 12, 2026
24°C or below
$599 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$643 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$348 Wol.
1%
27°C
$968 Wol.
5%
28°C
$2,249 Wol.
27%
29°C
$2,021 Wol.
48%
30°C
$1,665 Wol.
20%
31°C
$1,053 Wol.
4%
32°C
$259 Wol.
1%
33°C
$537 Wol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$328 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 12 point to overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and gusty winds tied to a passing tropical system or enhanced monsoon flow, which are moderating peak heating and positioning 28–30°C as the most probable range for the daily high. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation while evaporative cooling from rainfall further caps temperatures, consistent with model runs showing highs near 29°C under 70–90% cloud fractions. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (48%) and nearby outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration showing reduced insolation relative to typical August baselines of 31–32°C. Updated model consensus and any shifts in storm track or timing remain key variables that could nudge probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,668Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 12 point to overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and gusty winds tied to a passing tropical system or enhanced monsoon flow, which are moderating peak heating and positioning 28–30°C as the most probable range for the daily high. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation while evaporative cooling from rainfall further caps temperatures, consistent with model runs showing highs near 29°C under 70–90% cloud fractions. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (48%) and nearby outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration showing reduced insolation relative to typical August baselines of 31–32°C. Updated model consensus and any shifts in storm track or timing remain key variables that could nudge probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10,668Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai on August 12 point to overcast skies, scattered thunderstorms, and gusty winds tied to a passing tropical system or enhanced monsoon flow, which are moderating peak heating and positioning 28–30°C as the most probable range for the daily high. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation while evaporative cooling from rainfall further caps temperatures, consistent with model runs showing highs near 29°C under 70–90% cloud fractions. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (48%) and nearby outcomes, as traders incorporate the latest guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration showing reduced insolation relative to typical August baselines of 31–32°C. Updated model consensus and any shifts in storm track or timing remain key variables that could nudge probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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