Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 11 point to mainly fine conditions under a southwesterly airstream, with extremely hot daytime temperatures and a projected range of 29–35°C, supporting trader emphasis on 34–35°C outcomes. Subtropical ridging and residual subsidence from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin favor strong solar heating and light winds that promote rapid daytime warming, though isolated afternoon showers introduce modest cooling potential that could trim the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Climatologically, August peaks often reach 33–34°C, yet the current setup aligns with above-normal seasonal guidance from the observatory. Updated model runs and the 10 a.m. local bulletin will refine the exact peak, particularly if convective development strengthens earlier than expected.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 15%
37°C 14%
30°C or below
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
11%
34°C
30%
35°C
35%
36°C
15%
37°C
14%
38°C
8%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 35%
34°C 30%
36°C 15%
37°C 14%
30°C or below
2%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
11%
34°C
30%
35°C
35%
36°C
15%
37°C
14%
38°C
8%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 11 point to mainly fine conditions under a southwesterly airstream, with extremely hot daytime temperatures and a projected range of 29–35°C, supporting trader emphasis on 34–35°C outcomes. Subtropical ridging and residual subsidence from Tropical Cyclone Dolphin favor strong solar heating and light winds that promote rapid daytime warming, though isolated afternoon showers introduce modest cooling potential that could trim the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Climatologically, August peaks often reach 33–34°C, yet the current setup aligns with above-normal seasonal guidance from the observatory. Updated model runs and the 10 a.m. local bulletin will refine the exact peak, particularly if convective development strengthens earlier than expected.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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