Latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance forecasts a maximum of 34°C for August 7, with minimums near 28°C and rain chances of 55–90% under medium-low threat, keeping the market split between 34°C (42%) and 33°C (37%). Subtropical summer conditions, elevated humidity, and potential afternoon convective showers introduce uncertainty in peak readings, while urban heat-island effects and the seasonal forecast of normal-to-above-normal August temperatures support the narrow edge for the higher outcome. Updated model runs and any overnight revisions from the Observatory will likely determine the final recorded value at the official station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 7?
34°C 43%
33°C 38%
35°C 10%
32°C 8%
$20,797 Wol.
$20,797 Wol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
38%
34°C
43%
35°C
10%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 43%
33°C 38%
35°C 10%
32°C 8%
$20,797 Wol.
$20,797 Wol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
8%
33°C
38%
34°C
43%
35°C
10%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance forecasts a maximum of 34°C for August 7, with minimums near 28°C and rain chances of 55–90% under medium-low threat, keeping the market split between 34°C (42%) and 33°C (37%). Subtropical summer conditions, elevated humidity, and potential afternoon convective showers introduce uncertainty in peak readings, while urban heat-island effects and the seasonal forecast of normal-to-above-normal August temperatures support the narrow edge for the higher outcome. Updated model runs and any overnight revisions from the Observatory will likely determine the final recorded value at the official station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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