Current MetService and aligned regional models forecast a daytime maximum near 10°C in Wellington on August 6 under southwesterly flow after a cold front, with partly cloudy skies and only a low chance of an early shower. This follows recent highs of 8°C on August 4–5 amid stronger southerlies and aligns with NIWA’s near-average winter temperature outlook for the Wellington region, though below the long-term August mean of 12–13°C. Market-implied odds favoring 10–11°C reflect this guidance while incorporating typical forecast variability in peak timing and local wind effects; updated model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key potential catalyst for shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on August 6?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 6?
11°C 49%
10°C 36%
12°C 14%
9°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
6%
10°C
36%
11°C
49%
12°C
14%
13°C
3%
14°C
2%
15°C or higher
1%
11°C 49%
10°C 36%
12°C 14%
9°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
5°C or below
$363 Wol.
<1%
6°C
$166 Wol.
<1%
7°C
$109 Wol.
1%
8°C
$26 Wol.
2%
9°C
$184 Wol.
6%
10°C
$180 Wol.
36%
11°C
$224 Wol.
49%
12°C
$558 Wol.
14%
13°C
$10 Wol.
3%
14°C
$10 Wol.
2%
15°C or higher
$111 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService and aligned regional models forecast a daytime maximum near 10°C in Wellington on August 6 under southwesterly flow after a cold front, with partly cloudy skies and only a low chance of an early shower. This follows recent highs of 8°C on August 4–5 amid stronger southerlies and aligns with NIWA’s near-average winter temperature outlook for the Wellington region, though below the long-term August mean of 12–13°C. Market-implied odds favoring 10–11°C reflect this guidance while incorporating typical forecast variability in peak timing and local wind effects; updated model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key potential catalyst for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,941Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService and aligned regional models forecast a daytime maximum near 10°C in Wellington on August 6 under southwesterly flow after a cold front, with partly cloudy skies and only a low chance of an early shower. This follows recent highs of 8°C on August 4–5 amid stronger southerlies and aligns with NIWA’s near-average winter temperature outlook for the Wellington region, though below the long-term August mean of 12–13°C. Market-implied odds favoring 10–11°C reflect this guidance while incorporating typical forecast variability in peak timing and local wind effects; updated model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key potential catalyst for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,941Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current MetService and aligned regional models forecast a daytime maximum near 10°C in Wellington on August 6 under southwesterly flow after a cold front, with partly cloudy skies and only a low chance of an early shower. This follows recent highs of 8°C on August 4–5 amid stronger southerlies and aligns with NIWA’s near-average winter temperature outlook for the Wellington region, though below the long-term August mean of 12–13°C. Market-implied odds favoring 10–11°C reflect this guidance while incorporating typical forecast variability in peak timing and local wind effects; updated model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key potential catalyst for shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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