Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service highlight partly cloudy and cold to very cold conditions over Cape Town for August 11–12, following a strong cold front and upper trough that brought rain and cooler air earlier in the long weekend. These patterns, combined with typical mid-August Atlantic high-pressure influences and seasonal norms around 18°C average highs, position 22–23°C as the market-implied leading outcomes with 36% and 25.5% probabilities. Model consensus on modest warming post-front and limited diurnal recovery supports this clustering, while lower probabilities for 24°C+ reflect uncertainty in exact post-frontal advection and wind shifts ahead of updated runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 12?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 12?
22°C 38%
23°C 25%
21°C 20%
20°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
20%
22°C
38%
23°C
25%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 38%
23°C 25%
21°C 20%
20°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
16°C or below
$33 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$19 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$13 Wol.
1%
19°C
$246 Wol.
3%
20°C
$408 Wol.
7%
21°C
$342 Wol.
20%
22°C
$1,808 Wol.
38%
23°C
$150 Wol.
25%
24°C
$156 Wol.
7%
25°C
$95 Wol.
2%
26°C or higher
$74 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service highlight partly cloudy and cold to very cold conditions over Cape Town for August 11–12, following a strong cold front and upper trough that brought rain and cooler air earlier in the long weekend. These patterns, combined with typical mid-August Atlantic high-pressure influences and seasonal norms around 18°C average highs, position 22–23°C as the market-implied leading outcomes with 36% and 25.5% probabilities. Model consensus on modest warming post-front and limited diurnal recovery supports this clustering, while lower probabilities for 24°C+ reflect uncertainty in exact post-frontal advection and wind shifts ahead of updated runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,343Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service highlight partly cloudy and cold to very cold conditions over Cape Town for August 11–12, following a strong cold front and upper trough that brought rain and cooler air earlier in the long weekend. These patterns, combined with typical mid-August Atlantic high-pressure influences and seasonal norms around 18°C average highs, position 22–23°C as the market-implied leading outcomes with 36% and 25.5% probabilities. Model consensus on modest warming post-front and limited diurnal recovery supports this clustering, while lower probabilities for 24°C+ reflect uncertainty in exact post-frontal advection and wind shifts ahead of updated runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,343Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the South African Weather Service highlight partly cloudy and cold to very cold conditions over Cape Town for August 11–12, following a strong cold front and upper trough that brought rain and cooler air earlier in the long weekend. These patterns, combined with typical mid-August Atlantic high-pressure influences and seasonal norms around 18°C average highs, position 22–23°C as the market-implied leading outcomes with 36% and 25.5% probabilities. Model consensus on modest warming post-front and limited diurnal recovery supports this clustering, while lower probabilities for 24°C+ reflect uncertainty in exact post-frontal advection and wind shifts ahead of updated runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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