Short-term forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to increased cloud cover and scattered showers moderating Tokyo's peak temperature on August 12 toward the mid-20s Celsius, tempering the broader seasonal signal of above-normal heat driven by a strengthened Pacific high-pressure system. This setup introduces uncertainty in maximum readings through variable insolation, humidity levels near 70-80%, and urban heat island effects at official stations, with historical August baselines around 31°C often exceeded under clear conditions but reduced by 3-5°C amid precipitation. Trader consensus clustering around 26-28°C reflects these competing influences, as model runs diverge on exact timing of any frontal moisture or wind shifts ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 12?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 12?
27°C 35%
28°C 29%
26°C 22%
25°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
9%
26°C
22%
27°C
35%
28°C
29%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 35%
28°C 29%
26°C 22%
25°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
23°C or below
$84 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$195 Wol.
1%
25°C
$584 Wol.
9%
26°C
$1,206 Wol.
22%
27°C
$446 Wol.
35%
28°C
$860 Wol.
29%
29°C
$1,460 Wol.
6%
30°C
$869 Wol.
3%
31°C
$495 Wol.
1%
32°C
$378 Wol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,537 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to increased cloud cover and scattered showers moderating Tokyo's peak temperature on August 12 toward the mid-20s Celsius, tempering the broader seasonal signal of above-normal heat driven by a strengthened Pacific high-pressure system. This setup introduces uncertainty in maximum readings through variable insolation, humidity levels near 70-80%, and urban heat island effects at official stations, with historical August baselines around 31°C often exceeded under clear conditions but reduced by 3-5°C amid precipitation. Trader consensus clustering around 26-28°C reflects these competing influences, as model runs diverge on exact timing of any frontal moisture or wind shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,113Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to increased cloud cover and scattered showers moderating Tokyo's peak temperature on August 12 toward the mid-20s Celsius, tempering the broader seasonal signal of above-normal heat driven by a strengthened Pacific high-pressure system. This setup introduces uncertainty in maximum readings through variable insolation, humidity levels near 70-80%, and urban heat island effects at official stations, with historical August baselines around 31°C often exceeded under clear conditions but reduced by 3-5°C amid precipitation. Trader consensus clustering around 26-28°C reflects these competing influences, as model runs diverge on exact timing of any frontal moisture or wind shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8,113Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency point to increased cloud cover and scattered showers moderating Tokyo's peak temperature on August 12 toward the mid-20s Celsius, tempering the broader seasonal signal of above-normal heat driven by a strengthened Pacific high-pressure system. This setup introduces uncertainty in maximum readings through variable insolation, humidity levels near 70-80%, and urban heat island effects at official stations, with historical August baselines around 31°C often exceeded under clear conditions but reduced by 3-5°C amid precipitation. Trader consensus clustering around 26-28°C reflects these competing influences, as model runs diverge on exact timing of any frontal moisture or wind shifts ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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