Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a daily minimum temperature in New York City near 70–71 °F on August 4, driven by a warm, humid air mass under weak high pressure with limited overnight radiational cooling and urban heat retention. Recent observations show dew points in the mid-60s and light winds, which suppress temperature drops and align with climatological averages for early August. Trader consensus at 72 % for the 70–71 °F bin reflects these stable conditions, while lower-probability outcomes would require unexpected clear skies or a stronger cold front that current guidance does not support. Updated model runs and official minimum readings tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on August 4?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 4?
68-69°F 19%
66-67°F 5%
64-65°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
5%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
56%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 19%
66-67°F 5%
64-65°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
59°F or below
$415 Wol.
<1%
60-61°F
$111 Wol.
<1%
62-63°F
$378 Wol.
<1%
64-65°F
$524 Wol.
1%
66-67°F
$844 Wol.
5%
68-69°F
$1,816 Wol.
19%
70-71°F
$462 Wol.
56%
72-73°F
$1,712 Wol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,965 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$775 Wol.
<1%
78°F or higher
$424 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a daily minimum temperature in New York City near 70–71 °F on August 4, driven by a warm, humid air mass under weak high pressure with limited overnight radiational cooling and urban heat retention. Recent observations show dew points in the mid-60s and light winds, which suppress temperature drops and align with climatological averages for early August. Trader consensus at 72 % for the 70–71 °F bin reflects these stable conditions, while lower-probability outcomes would require unexpected clear skies or a stronger cold front that current guidance does not support. Updated model runs and official minimum readings tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,425Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a daily minimum temperature in New York City near 70–71 °F on August 4, driven by a warm, humid air mass under weak high pressure with limited overnight radiational cooling and urban heat retention. Recent observations show dew points in the mid-60s and light winds, which suppress temperature drops and align with climatological averages for early August. Trader consensus at 72 % for the 70–71 °F bin reflects these stable conditions, while lower-probability outcomes would require unexpected clear skies or a stronger cold front that current guidance does not support. Updated model runs and official minimum readings tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,425Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 11:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service indicate a daily minimum temperature in New York City near 70–71 °F on August 4, driven by a warm, humid air mass under weak high pressure with limited overnight radiational cooling and urban heat retention. Recent observations show dew points in the mid-60s and light winds, which suppress temperature drops and align with climatological averages for early August. Trader consensus at 72 % for the 70–71 °F bin reflects these stable conditions, while lower-probability outcomes would require unexpected clear skies or a stronger cold front that current guidance does not support. Updated model runs and official minimum readings tonight remain the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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