High uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Moscow on September 14 stems from variable autumnal circulation patterns over European Russia, where competing model runs from ECMWF and GFS show divergent air mass trajectories. Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between 5°C or below (38%) and 15°C or higher (38%), reflecting potential Arctic air advection versus milder Atlantic influences, modulated by cloud cover, wind speed, and overnight radiative cooling. Historical September minima average around 7–9°C, but rapid shifts in pressure gradients can alter outcomes within 24–48 hours. Upcoming model updates and official observations from Russian meteorological services will likely refine these market-implied odds as resolution nears.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Moscow on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 14?
5°C or below 76%
15°C or higher 76%
6°C 40%
10°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
5°C or below
76%
6°C
40%
7°C
26%
8°C
26%
9°C
22%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
18%
13°C
18%
14°C
18%
15°C or higher
76%
5°C or below 76%
15°C or higher 76%
6°C 40%
10°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
5°C or below
$31 Wol.
76%
6°C
$0 Wol.
40%
7°C
$0 Wol.
26%
8°C
$0 Wol.
26%
9°C
$0 Wol.
22%
10°C
$0 Wol.
40%
11°C
$0 Wol.
40%
12°C
$0 Wol.
18%
13°C
$0 Wol.
18%
14°C
$0 Wol.
18%
15°C or higher
$0 Wol.
76%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Moscow on September 14 stems from variable autumnal circulation patterns over European Russia, where competing model runs from ECMWF and GFS show divergent air mass trajectories. Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between 5°C or below (38%) and 15°C or higher (38%), reflecting potential Arctic air advection versus milder Atlantic influences, modulated by cloud cover, wind speed, and overnight radiative cooling. Historical September minima average around 7–9°C, but rapid shifts in pressure gradients can alter outcomes within 24–48 hours. Upcoming model updates and official observations from Russian meteorological services will likely refine these market-implied odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$31Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Moscow on September 14 stems from variable autumnal circulation patterns over European Russia, where competing model runs from ECMWF and GFS show divergent air mass trajectories. Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between 5°C or below (38%) and 15°C or higher (38%), reflecting potential Arctic air advection versus milder Atlantic influences, modulated by cloud cover, wind speed, and overnight radiative cooling. Historical September minima average around 7–9°C, but rapid shifts in pressure gradients can alter outcomes within 24–48 hours. Upcoming model updates and official observations from Russian meteorological services will likely refine these market-implied odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$31Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...High uncertainty in short-term forecasts for Moscow on September 14 stems from variable autumnal circulation patterns over European Russia, where competing model runs from ECMWF and GFS show divergent air mass trajectories. Trader consensus splits nearly evenly between 5°C or below (38%) and 15°C or higher (38%), reflecting potential Arctic air advection versus milder Atlantic influences, modulated by cloud cover, wind speed, and overnight radiative cooling. Historical September minima average around 7–9°C, but rapid shifts in pressure gradients can alter outcomes within 24–48 hours. Upcoming model updates and official observations from Russian meteorological services will likely refine these market-implied odds as resolution nears.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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